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16:45 ItalyRBS 12Monthly Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index(PMI),预测51.0, Previous value51.3 16:50 FranceCDAF 12Monthly manufacturing industryPMI,预测52.1, Previous value52.5
16:55 Germany12Monthly manufacturing industryPMI,预测53.2, Previous value53.7
17:00 eurozoneRBS 12Monthly manufacturing industryPMI,预测52.5, Previous value52.8
17:30 britainCIPS 12Monthly manufacturing industryPMI,预测53.6, Previous value54.4
23:00 U.S.A11月营建支出,预测-0.4%, Previous value-0.8%
23:00 U.S.A12Monthly Supply Management Association(ISM)制造业指数,预测50.5, Previous value50.8

1month3day
03:00 Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC)12month11Daily Meeting Minutes

to2007年最后一个交易日,金价又再度走近28年高位位置附近,估计踏入08年早段应不难见金价进一步刷新850美元的纪录高位,甚至可能测试从未触及的900USD or1000USD, due togold过去几年期的强势已吸引了强烈的市场买兴,把黄金作为特别投资选择。由于金融机构由于次优抵押贷款问题大幅减计资产,导致全球股市疲滞,金价因此受避险需求支撑。购买黄金亦为投资商品市场的一个策略,因金价往往追随油价走势,过去金价对能源市场走强反映最为敏感。随著油价升向100美元,金价拥有了升向纪录新高的完美条件。预计当前的市场形势仍对金价十分有利,欧元兑美元走强、crude oil价格居高不下、强劲的实际买盘需求、地缘政治紧张局势、美国经济放缓及联储降息等因素,都为金价带来了支撑。黄金市场的驱动力依然是美元的下跌。黄金价格现已成为美元汇率的一个反向指标。过去,美元是资金的避风港,随著美元不断贬值,这一避险功能已经被黄金所取代。如果用原油价格进行分析,会发现原油在上世纪70年代末80年代初时,和黄金一样达到了顶峰。那时原油价格为每桶45美元,现为快近100美元照此估算,黄金的价格可能仍远远被低估,因此,估计未来上涨的空间仍然很大。而下方支持则估计已于770to780区域建立了一个较为可靠之支撑区域。预计在08为了缓解美国信贷危机造成的影响,各国央行会注入更多流动性,全球货币供给可能会继续增长,这将支持金价。尤其是美国政府会采取这种措施,因为2008年是美国总统大选年。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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