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London Gold(12month31Solstice1month4day)

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Londongold上周初已持稳在平均线上方,周末前最高见至840水平,上周受到有关巴基斯坦前总理贝娜齐尔遇袭身亡的消息,令避险意愿升高,促使黄金之买需。随著2007年之结束,金价可望接近今年高位区间收市,故可期望进入08年将会改写金价之历史高位。图形上807USD is4Zhou and9周平均线支撑区域,800美元则为50天平均线位置,早前金价之向下盘整曾守稳于此区域,因此780/800水平可参考为08年之分界线,720/740区域则为重要支持区;至于上方则可望上试至1,000美元之目标。

波浪理论分析,黄金已运行大型上升( V )Within the waves3Within the waves(v)Stretching within the wavesiii伸延微浪。黄金在06year5month14Daily high730完成超级大型第(III)Waves, and730to06year6month18Daily low543为超级大型第( IV )Within the wavesaWaves,543to06year7month23Daily high676为超级大型第( IV )Within the wavesbWaves,676to06year10month8Daily low559.4为超级大型第( IV )Within the wavescWaves, that is, the entire section(IV)浪在此完结。而559.4to07year4month29Daily high693为超级大型第( V )Within the waves1Stretching waves,693to7month1Daily low638.9为超级大型第( V )Within the waves2Stretching waves,638.9to7month29Daily high687.1为超级大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(i)Stretching small waves,687.1to9month18Daily low641.1为超级大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(ii)Stretching small waves,641.1of11month11Daily high854.4为超级大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iii)Stretching small waves,854.4to11month19Daily low777为超级大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iv)伸延小浪。而777开始至现在运行第(v)伸延小浪内的次一级伸延微浪。现在正运行大型上升( V )Within the waves3Within the waves(v)Stretching within the wavesiii伸延微浪。现阶段黄金新的上升浪已展开,预计此第iii伸延微浪在本周仍然运行,并有机会升至850-860水准,当运行完第iii伸延微浪后,第iv伸延微浪即下跌浪将会展开,而整个第(v)伸延浪将会升至900以上水准。

短线图表而言,短期平均线已出现有距离之散开,目前4The balance moving average supports823.50元,而9天平均线为812.90美元,重叠于下降趋向线位置,此位置为先前重要阻力现转为重要支持参考;较近支持则可留意835and830美元。根据上周突破之三角型态所推测,向上之技术考验目标可达至851and859美元,较重要位置则在868and872水平,或许888美元是市场引颈以待之重要目标。

短期策略而言,可于831to847区域内上落买卖,能向上突破851水平,则应可期待紧接著的会是新一浪升势,故尝试顺势追买;反之,若回破820美元则须慎防进一步跌破9天平均线将预示单边升市或告结束。

London Gold 12month31Solstice1month4Daily predicted wave amplitude:
Support bit:830.50 ― 821 ― 813 - 808
Resistance level:859 ― 868 ― 872 ― 888

London Gold 12month31day
Predicting early wave amplitude: 835 ― 840
Support bit:831 ― 820
Resistance level:847 ― 851

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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