金慧眼：原油库存供应过剩 油价大幅收跌

Jin Huiyan:crude oil库存供应过剩 油价大幅收跌
International news surface
Wednesday(11month2day)美国大选不确定引发的避险继续发酵，并施压美指，即使Federal Reserve公布了鹰派的决议也没有使美元摆脱颓势，在大选黑天鹅的担忧之下，美联储决议和周五的Non agricultural数据都不那么重要了。crude oilaspect,EIAPublishedCrude oil inventory数据骤增，创下1982年来最大增幅，在加上市场对于供应过剩的忧虑，油价受累大幅收跌3%。


Analysis of crude oil market
从日线图上来看，昨日日线以大阴线报收，形成四连阴格局，整体趋势依旧偏空，我们可以发现，经过本轮的大幅回落之后，已经很接近9月份的双底形态的底部，自从价格冲高52.22美元后便进入台阶式的下跌行情当中，低点不断下破，虽有反抽但始终未能企稳，空头趋势强劲，而且在EIA重大利空情况下油价并未下破45整数关口，金慧认为连日下跌短期会陷入低位区间震荡，来修复超卖指标!那么操作上金慧建议在日线形态没有扭转之前继续以反弹做空为主。
至于中期趋势，金慧个人依旧看空，从3日图上看非常明显，目前油价大阴下破布林带中轨于46一线的支撑，预计将向下测试布林带下轨40一线的支撑，中线空的中继目标还是看40nearby!莫把短期的反弹修正当见底!


Suggestions for spot crude oil operation
1、46.0-46.2Short selling, stop loss0.3Point, look at the target45.0-45.2;破位持有!
2、44.9-45.0Short term, stop loss0.3Point, look at the target45.5-45.6


epilogue

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