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Zhou Zhejin:EIA库存大增,原油沥青多单解套

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导读:投资者需谦而不卑,骄而不横,敬而不畏。走过的是时间,看过的是行情,尝过的是盈与亏,回味的是得与失,沉淀的是经验,成就的是境界。机会总是留给有准备的人,但同样也留给会选择的人。顺势,市场造就你,逆势,市场就会教育你。


Message surface:各大产油国实施阿尔及尔协议产量配额几无实质性进展,以及OPEC产油国之间的分歧日益增加,令市场对OPEC实现减产协议的预期不断降温。与此同时,据美国石油协会(API)The latest released data shows that the United States10month28Day and WeekAPIcrude oilInventory increase929.6Ten thousand barrels, for3月以来最大涨幅,预期为增加103.9Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is an increase475.4万桶,油价承压走低。

US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Wednesday(10month2day)公布数据显示,美国10month28Day and WeekEIA原油库存大增1442Ten thousand barrels, reduced gasoline inventory220.710000 barrels, reduced inventory of refined oil182.8万桶。具体数据显示,美国10month28Day and WeekEIA原油库存大增227.6Ten thousand barrels, expected increase200Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased55.310000 barrels;Reduced gasoline inventory220.7Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease100Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased195.610000 barrels;Reduced inventory of refined oil182.8Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease190Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased335.4Ten thousand barrels.


原油行情分析及日内操作思路:
日线来看,行情破位年内的上升趋势线,在46.3一线形成顶底转换,数据出来一瞬间,行情也顺利回踩这一线,没有突破,下方长线目标看到下行通道40美元,目前短线支撑45美元必破。4小时来看破位下行通道之后行情加速,一路阴跌,后市行情在45美元支撑震荡,空仓的朋友周哲金建议在45.6-45.8一线继续进空,手中仍持有空单的朋友可减仓继续持有,仍然有进一步下跌的空间。目标短线44.3,长线40USD.


那么昨晚套单怎么办?
今晚行情受数据影响暴跌,肯定有不少朋友手里有多单被套,周哲金建议待行情反弹至46-46.5美元附近损掉多单补空单进场,手里持有空单的朋友可以继续补仓空,目标看第一支撑位45USD, break through to see44.5美元。其实单子被套不可怕,保存实力,以待东山再起才是明智。


很多人在数据行情面前表现的很激动,一直不停的问老师,利多还是利空啊,老师给我们提前布局,其实老师是很无奈的,因为作为老师,其实更希望投资朋友能够在跟随老师的操作过程中,能够培养自己的操作习惯和提高自己的技术知识,这样在任何情况下,我们才能够冷静应对,未来的行情都是未知的,但你学到的知识和技能能够一直拥有,我们要的是在所有行情下都能够占领制高点。

投资犹如下棋,棋艺高者能看出五步,七步甚至十几步,而棋艺低者只能看出两三步,高者顾大局,谋大势,不以一子一地为重,以最终赢棋为目标,低者则寸土必争,只为争一时之需,结果频频受困。


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writing/Zhou Zhejin


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