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Liu Yanrui:ADPhand in handEIA外加利率决议登场,料将引爆市场

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Liu Yanrui:ADPhand in handEIA外加利率决议登场,料将引爆市场
  11.2EIAEvening spot goodsgoldSuggestions for the operation of Daqin Commodity and Ninggui Asphalt
Message surface parsing:
  crude oilaspect:
Wednesday(11month2day)亚欧时段国际油价延续跌势,为连续第四个交易日下跌,美原油12monthfutures一度刷新一个月低点至46.06dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil1月期货最低曾触及47.57dollar/桶,凌晨的API原油库存大幅增加,继续打击投资者信心;紧张不安的投资者仍在关注稍晚出炉的美国EIAInventory data.
  美国石油协会(API)最新数据显示,在截至10month28During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased930万桶,为今年3月以来的最大涨幅至4.812亿桶,远超市场预期,分析师预估为增加100Ten thousand barrels.
  API原油库存的大幅增加,令市场担忧晚间出炉的美国官方EIA原油库存亦会大幅增加,目前市场预期为增加15810000 barrels;亦加剧了市场对供给过剩的担忧。
In terms of gold:
Wednesday(11month2day)亚欧时段现货黄金小幅冲高,一度刷新一个月高点至1294.53dollar/盎司,因最新民调显示美国大选出现了逆转,避险情绪继续升温,全球股市全线下跌,部分资金流向黄金,帮助金价上涨,市场还在进一步关注稍晚的美联储利率决议。
  分析师刘衍睿认为美国大选前的不确定性可能为贵金属带来支撑。而市场上亦正等待美联储稍晚结束两日政策会议,以理清美国升息趋势。
Analysis of spot asphalt technology:
  现货沥青四小时图上看,布林带开口扩大,附图MACD指标死叉放量有所缓解,但各均线指标呈空头格局排列,上方5、10日均线出存在压制。下方关注布林带下轨支撑,操作上不要急于追涨下跌,虽然空头格局明朗,但需谨防反弹,日线图上,日内沥青呈震荡下行趋势,目前再次跌破布林带下轨破新低,而早间开盘是跳空低开,日内没有回补此缺口,加之K线脱离均线指标运行,晚间操作上需关注EIA数据具体公布值。操作上在日线图没有见底信号出来之前,分析师刘衍睿威杏liuyanrui89还是建议以反弹做空为主。
  宁贵沥青晚间可参考操作建议
Strategy 1:4360Long, stop loss4320, look at the goal4460
  策略二:上方4500Short selling, stop loss4540, look at the goal4400
  策略三:根据EIA利多利空的幅度来看,突破压制和支撑顺势跟进即可。
  大秦沥青晚间可参考操作建议:
Strategy 1:2220Long, stop loss2200, Objective2280-2300
  策略二:上方2345Short selling, stop loss2470, Objective2300、2280、2265
  策略三:根据EIA利多利空的幅度来看,突破压制和支撑顺势跟进即可。
  现货黄金技术面解析:
  现货黄金从日线图上看,K线运行于布林带中轨及5日均线上方,脱离均线指标运行。日K线称连阳格局。从K线排列和各均线指标来看,黄金自前期在低位箱体内横盘许久后突破箱体一路上行,现收于1296,即将冲向1300整数关口。涨势依旧强劲。上方需要关注日图布林带上轨1317处,下方关注5日均线支撑,且附图MACD指标金叉放量逐渐增强,黄金日图看涨,操作上以回调做多为主。四小时图上,K线运行于布林带上轨处。上方还有上涨空间,短线上依然按照回调做多的思路来操作。综合来看,金价长线看空,中线看涨,那么对于晚间行情笔者刘衍睿威杏liuyanrui89预测是冲高回落行情,所以准备两手即可。
  现货黄金晚间可参考操作建议
  策略一:回调1292Long, stop loss1288, look at the goal1300/1303
Strategy 2:1303Short selling, stop loss1307, look at the goal1295
  策略三:下方埋伏1281Multiple orders, stop loss1277, look at the goal1290
  晚间关注消息面:
  20:15 U.S.A 10monthADPChanges in employment numbers(ten thousand people) Previous value+15.4 expect+17.0 市场影响
  21:45 U.S.A 10monthISMNew York Corporate Activity Index Previous value49.6
  22:30 U.S.A last weekEIAChanges in crude oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1028) Previous value-55.3 市场影响
  22:30 U.S.A 上周周EIAOklahoma Cushing crude oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1028) Previous value-133.7 市场影响
  22:30 U.S.A last weekEIAChanges in refined oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1028) Previous value-335.4
  22:30 U.S.A last weekEIAChanges in gasoline inventory(10000 barrels)(to1028) Previous value-195.6
  02:00 U.S.A to11month2Japanese Federal Reserve Rate Decision(upper limit) Previous value0.5% expect0.5% 市场影响
  02:00 U.S.A to11month2Japanese Federal Reserve Rate Decision(下限) Previous value0.25% expect0.25% 市场影响
  02:00 U.S.A Federal ReserveFOMC宣布利率决定并发表政策声明 市场影响
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