钱伟哲：欧佩克众说纷纭，非农周原油沥青日内操作策略

　　钱伟哲：欧佩克众说纷纭，非农周crude oilAsphalt intraday operation strategy
　　
　　市场短讯——
　　
　　希拉里“邮件门”重启引发市场担忧
　　
　　从上周五开始，深陷旋窝的希拉里造成了一系列指标的逆转。比如，美国联邦基金利率futuresdisplayed12The probability of monthly interest rate hikes has increased from last week's75%Down to69.7%Hillary's approval rating is only one percentage point ahead of Trump, indicating that the market is concerned about the uncertainty surrounding the US election.
　　
　　上周末的产油国技术会议各国就减产协议未能取得共识
　　
　　各大产油国在上周末召开的技术会议上未取得共识，令市场认为达成减产协议的希望渺茫，导致原油期货周一大幅收跌。纽约商业交易所12Monthly deliveryWTIUS crude oil futures decline1.84US dollar, closing at46.86dollar/Bucket, with a decline of3.8%. LondonICEEuropean Futures Exchange12North Sea Brent crude oil futures with monthly delivery also fell1.41US dollar, closing at48.30dollar/Bucket, with a decline of2.8%Created from9month27The lowest closing price since the beginning of the day.
     writing/钱伟哲指导微信qwz2498
　　
　　总结——
　　
　　美国原油价格最高升至51.91dollar/Bucket, lowest drop to46.62dollar/Bucket. Oil prices rose sharply at the beginning of the month, mainly due toOPECThe support of reaching a verbal production reduction agreement. However, in10In the latter half of the month, oil prices did not continue to rise as a result, and there are increasing signs indicating that,OPECThe production reduction agreement led by the oil producing countries is more likely to be unsatisfactory and empty talk, which makes the future prospects of oil prices still bleak.
　　
　　种种迹象显示，此前OPECThe production reduction plan is likely to be another piece of paper. After the preliminary agreement is reached, we can see thatOPECThe effort in work,OPECThe energy ministers of Gulf countries have repeatedly stated that Saudi Arabia and Gulf countries are willing to reduce oil production from its peak4[%]But the market doesn't pay attention.
　　
　　原油行情分析——
　　
　　日图双阴放量，空间较大。而且昨日欧盘反弹之后。美盘破低就是极弱下挫。几乎中途没出现反弹修正。说明短期动能较足。日图的阴KThe line is relatively large. There is still a wave of continuous bottoming out today. However, if we continue down today, we will approach the upward trend line on the daily chart45.80-46.0Region. This position should be avoided from descending and rebounding upon arrival for the first time. As for whether it can stop the decline and stabilize at this level, it will be judged based on the intraday pattern. At least get closer, or else chase after the sky.
　　
　　短线操作亚盘反弹修正，欧盘前出高点，然后欧盘破低走弱。那么空点的位置应该是临近欧盘开盘的时候切入。参照压力点47.30The area is easily accessible. Simultaneously supported by the trend line of the daily chart46.0Complete profit taking in the nearby area. Today's bears are not overly greedy. follow45.80-46.0The gains and losses. At the same time, if the European market experiences a very weak downturn. touch46.0It can be shortened one more time nearby. The rebound before the opening of the game in the US market. As for whether it can stop the decline in this region, it needs to be confirmed by today's daily closing. Short term operations are not a big problem at once.
　　
　　11.01美原油操作策略——
　　
　　1.Crude oil prices rebound to47.65-47.75Short selling, stop loss0.4In US dollars, the target is visible46.60-46.70, broken46.60Point position, then move downwards46.20Point position;
　　
　　2.Crude oil prices remain stable46.60Then, in46.60-46.70Long, stop loss0.4In US dollars, the target is visible47.50-47.60Breakthrough47.60Then move up to47.75Point position.
　　
　　白银行情分析——
　　
　　白银的话近期波动都不是很大，基本就在40Go back up and down at a certain point. but thisgoldThe channel has been formed, and the resistance and support levels are quite obvious. It is still very accurate to have high altitude and low altitude within the interval. Yesterday, due to Hillary's "email scandal", gold and silver experienced a surge, but they still fell back after touching the resistance line of the channel. So the biggest impact on silver this week is undoubtedly the non farm payroll data. The upward potential of silver is still relatively large, and even if the non farm payroll data is negative for silver, it is still a good opportunity to buy at the bottom in the long run.
　　
　　当然黄金白银11Overall, the month is a relatively complex oscillation, while on the daily chart25The low point is bullish11Mid month high point. Key points to focus on at the silver level18.0Breakthrough on the front line of the US dollar, if it breaks upwards18.30The rebound of the US dollar is confirmed to continue bullish. On the contrary, if there is a downward breakthrough, be careful and return to the intraday oscillation as the main trading strategy. Silver Focus18.00Compared to the low point17.20的区间突破。详细操作策略关注公众号：钱伟哲分析师
　　
　　钱伟哲寄语：人之所以会心累，就是常常徘徊在坚持和放弃之间，举棋不定。投资博弈中总会有一些值得我们记忆的东西，也有一些必须要放弃的东西。放弃与坚持，是每个人面对人生问题的一种态度。勇于放弃是一种大气，敢于坚持何尝不是一种勇气，孰是孰非，谁能说的清道的明呢？
　　
　　本文由钱伟哲（微信qwz2498）分析师独家策划，转载请注明出处。以上内容供参考。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。套单锁单操作不理想可与本人沟通交流。
　　Wen/Qian Weizhe