Wanzhi Foreign Exchange: GBP to USD11month01Forecast of trading trends for various investment banks on a daily basis

　　TMGforeign exchange：
GBP/dollar Suggestion1.2210Go long, goal:1.2268，1.2298Stop loss50Points.
Suggestions1.2300Short selling, target:1.2270Stop loss50Points.
Industrial Investment:
　　在本周四英央行利率决议之前，英镑/The US dollar remains at a low range consolidation, with a slight rebound overnight and closing at1.2234The suspense of this week's interest rate decision is not too great. Recently, the UK has released good economic data, which has eased the possibility of further interest rate cuts by the Bank of England. But in the past two days, the news that Bank of England Governor Carney will resign has become a topic of concern for market participants. Fortunately, in a letter to UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Hammond on Monday, Carney stated that he would extend his term by one year and remain in office until2019year6At the end of the month;Stay in office until the expected Lisbon Treaty50After the Brexit process, it should help ensure an orderly transition of the UK towards a new relationship with the EU. Carney's retention is also the main reason for the overnight rebound of the pound. Today's Focus on the UK10Monthly manufacturing industryPMI,Expected to be54.5。
　　技术上，日图短期前景看涨。4The hourly chart shows that the exchange rate is still neutral, with technical indicators turning upwards and located near the midline, but the exchange rate still oscillates around a flat level20SMANearby, as long as it is located in the recent downtrend23.6%Reverse gear1.2335Below, the upward potential is still limited.1The hourly chart shows that the exchange rate is accelerating its breakthrough20SMAThe moving average is currently located at1.2170The upward momentum is strong, and technical indicators continue to rise, approaching the overbought area.
　　Goldstone Global：
GBP/dollar Within the day: Upward trend.
In the 1.2170 Above, bullish, target price is 1.2265 , and then 1.2300 。
　　转折点: 1.2170
　　交易策略： stay 1.2170 Above, bullish, target price is 1.2265 , and then 1.2300 。
Alternative strategy: stay 1.2170 Next, look short. The target price is set at 1.2140 , and then 1.2110。
　　技术点评: RSITechnical indicators are bullish, with further room for improvement.
Deng Fute:
GBP/美元中期下跌到1.2015价位一直围绕下落低点构筑次要节奏，有助于中期跌势的延续。从小时图走势来看，英镑/USD from10month25日至今一直在1.2080-1.2270横盘区间范围内运行，当前以区间内向上格局为主，受到区间上沿的阻力作用，英镑短线上行的空间受限。在对横盘区间形成突破之前英镑短线的动荡局面持续。
AustraliaGCG：
　　有消息称英国央行行长卡尼有望继续留任，因此短线上英镑受到支撑而大幅上行，汇价突破1.22的关口后触及1.2247的高位。盘面上看，汇价底部1.21附近后受到支撑开始了上行整理。整体上看，汇价依旧限于底部震荡阶段，在汇价未能有效突破前都建议观望英镑。但方向是依旧是倾向于下行整理。上方关键的点位在1.2270 1.2330. 下方在1.21附近存在强大支撑。
　　Banda Asia:
　　英镑昨日震荡上行，日线小幅收涨，现汇价交投于1.2230附近。英国首相首相发言人隔夜表示，首相支持卡尼能够将其目前的任职合约由2018年延期至2021年。英国央行行长卡尼将继续留任是支撑英镑隔夜反弹的主要原因。此外，美元指数在希拉里邮件门事件的影响下承压也对英镑构成了一定的支撑。今日关注1.2300Nearby pressure situation, supported below1.2150Near.
Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
　　GBP/USD
Support 1.2140 1.2070 resistance 1.2250 1.2340
　　昨日消息称英央行行长卡尼同意将其任期将延长一年至2019year6月。英国首相、英国财政大臣对此表示欢迎，称这将有助于英央行政策在脱欧谈判期间保持稳定及连续性，相信卡尼的这一决定应当会有助于英镑的稳定。英镑在这一消息的影响下也是从区间低点大幅上行至震荡区间的上轨，目前正处于压力位处，仍可实施我们逢高做空的思路，首要的阻力在1.2250处，更上方则是1.2340;震荡区间的下轨则分别是1.2140and1.2070.

Event discussion:

time	Indicator content	Previous value	Estimate	Announced value
21:45	U.S.A10monthMarkit制造业采购经理人指数终值	53.2	53.2	Waiting
22:00	U.S.A9月营建支出(Monthly rate)	-0.7%	+0.5%	Waiting
22:00	U.S.A11monthIBD经济乐观指数	51.3	47.5	Waiting
22:00	U.S.A10monthISMManufacturing Price Payment Index	53.0	54.0	Waiting
22:00	U.S.A10monthISMManufacturing Purchasing Managers Index	51.5	51.7	Waiting
	U.S.A10monthISM制造业产出指数	52.8		Waiting
	U.S.A10monthISM制造业库存指数	49.5		Waiting
	U.S.A10monthISM制造业新订单指数	55.1		Waiting
22:00	U.S.A10monthISM制造业就业指数	49.7		Waiting

Focus:Vantage FX万致：澳洲联储政策声明解读，澳美镑美交易预期展望（https://www.vantagefx.cn/market-analysis/16110102/）

　　

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