Su Wenyan:10month25Analysis of spot natural gas market and suggestions for daily operations

Su Wenyan:10month25Analysis of spot natural gas market and suggestions for daily operations

Fundamental analysis:

　　过去两年内油价预测者的日子可谓是非常艰难，首先没人能够准确看到2014年油价的暴跌行情，同时更加没人预想到油价居然能一路从100dollar/桶高位跌至30dollar/桶关口下方。而随着市场上此起彼伏的限产声音，油价一直经历着跌宕起伏的波动行情，经过整理发现，目前仍有五大负面因素将会限制油价的反弹空间，甚至可能会压迫油价再度下探低位。

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Technical analysis:

　　天然气价格在昨天高开低走，整体依旧维持弱势局面，就如昨天的分析一样行情存在继续走低的可能。虽然昨天出现了高开，但由于调价导致的高开在技术图上不具参考性。当前天然气价格重新跌到了均线下方，预计在今天仍然会有一个空头的延续。等待有合适机会苏文嫣老师威信swy502I will conduct further analysis and reminders. Those who are good at guarding are good at hunting, and those who understand relaxation and discipline can better survive in the market.

　　从短线的表现来看，当前均线位置主要施压于4740附近的位置，预计行情在今天测试到该位置后会有一定的回落出现。如果按照现在的波动节奏运行，行情很大概率出现进一步走低。当前下方的支撑位于4560位置，下方还有接近200点的空间，建议投资者在日内操作仍然逢高做空。

　　Operation suggestions:

　　1Natural gas prices can be found in4740Short nearby, stop loss4780On, target4560
　　2Natural gas prices can be found in4560Long nearby, stop loss4520Next, target4740
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