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FXStreet首席分析师:澳元/dollar10month24日当周走势分析

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Monday(10month24day)亚市早盘,澳元/美元位于0.7610附近水平徘徊。上周澳元/USD touch0.7734高点后一路回撤,最终收于0.7600附近水平。因油价下跌加之澳大利亚就业数据不佳,澳元/美元下跌回吐涨幅。
This Wednesday(10month26日)澳大利亚将公布第三季度通胀数据,若数据不及预期,则澳洲联储(RBA)降息概率将加大,从而可能触发澳元进一步下跌。
AUD/美元去年4月于0.7834水平见顶后,Foreign exchange commission rebate website 目前仍未突破0.7700一线。如果汇价突破0.7700,则之后走势可能出现反转,买盘维持在0.7450附近,该水位为年内上行趋势的38.2%回撤位。
From a technical perspective,FXStreetChief AnalystValeria Bednarik指出,日图显示澳元/美元处在20日均线下方,技术指标同样朝南,处在中性区域,表明汇价可能下行。
Bednarik并指出,澳元/USD from5month30Daily low point0.7148以来的日图下行趋势线维持在0.7550附近,若汇价跌破该水平,则将延续下行,从而接近震荡区间底部。
4Looking at the hour chart,Bednarik进一步指出,技术指标明显看跌,处在消极区域内。与此同时,20期均线陡峭走低,处在澳元/美元现价上方。
Support position:0.7590 0.7550 0.7500
Resistance level:0.7620 0.7660 0.7700
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