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12month20日重要数据公布

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14:00 日本央行经济月报
15:00 Germany1monthGfk消费景气指数•预测:4.0•Previous value:4.3
15:15 Switzerland11Monthly trade balance•预测:13.70亿盈馀•前值:顺差15.58亿盈馀
16:15 Switzerland11Monthly comprehensive production price index(PPI)Monthly rate•预测:+0.3%•Previous value:+0.2%
16:15 Switzerland11Monthly comprehensive production price index(PPI)the annual rate•预测:+3.0%•Previous value:+2.7%
17:30 英国第三季流动帐•预测:115A deficit of one billion yuan•Previous value:90.54A deficit of one billion yuan
17:30 UK Q3 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Quarterly rate final value•预测:+0.7%•Previous value:+0.7%
17:30 UK Q3 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Annual rate final value•预测:+3.2%•Previous value:+3.2%
17:30 britain11月政府收支短差(PSNCR)•预测:80A deficit of one billion yuan•Previous value:47.87A deficit of one billion yuan
21:30 Real GDP of the United States in the third quarter(GDP)Final value•预测:+4.9%•Previous value:+4.9%
21:30 Season 3 in the United StatesGDP隐性平减指数终值•Previous value:+0.9%•预测:+0.9%
21:30 美国第三季最终销售终值•预测:+3.9%•Previous value:+3.9%
21:30 美国第三季个人消费开支(PCE)Final value of price index•预测:+1.7%•Previous value:+1.7%
21:30 US Season 3 CorePCEFinal value of price index•预测:+1.8%•Previous value:+1.8%
21:30 Number of first weekly claims for unemployment assistance in the United States•预测:33.5ten thousand people•Previous value:33.3ten thousand people
23:00 U.S.A11Monthly leading indicators•预测:-0.3%•Previous value:-0.5%


12month19day
港金息率:低息 70 Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:801.50
London gold afternoon fixing price:799.75
London Silver Set Price:13.98
黄金伦敦收盘价(00:15):802.90 / 803.60
黄金纽约收盘价(03:15):801.10 / 801.80

NYMEX 2月期金:
开市价:802.90 - 收市价:805.70
Maximum:  809.10 - 最低:  802.80

美元周三全面上涨,兑英镑升至三个月高位,因有迹象显示金融市场动荡开始危及美国以外的经济体。德国Ifo企业景气判断指数跌至近一年低点,促使投资人增 加年底美元买盘,欧元遭创。大型机构投资人也为压低英镑助力,英镑跌穿2USD, for9月来首见。英国央行本月会议记录显示一致赞成降息后,市场预计将进一步 降息。大量次优抵押贷款债券由英资和欧资银行购买,尽管次优抵押贷款危机是美国制造,但其效应亦蔓延至欧、英之金融领域。年底前,交投较为清淡,这令价格 走势更为加剧。欧元兑美元周三最低跌至1.4324,英镑兑美元触及三个月低点1.9927. The Federal Reserve Board of the United States(FED)标售200USD100mn28日贷款获 强劲需求,标售的消息属于中性。另外,美国第二大投资银行摩根士丹利周三宣布,中国主权财富基金--中国投资有限责任公司(CIC)with50亿美元购买可转 换为摩根士丹利股票的股票单位,该消息令投资人不再那么注意摩根士丹利第四季录得净亏损35.9亿美元。今晚市场将关注初请失业金人数和费城联邦储备银行 制造业数据,以寻找美国经济体质的线索。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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