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Rain Gold:10.22Midnight Gold Reviewcrude oilThe high tide of the asphalt long air battle fluctuates, and the weakness and weakness of silver are worrying for the future market (with a solution attached)
When thinking, be like a wise man, and when trading, be like a hunter. Fear comes from conservative behavior, while greed comes from conceited actions. Although fear may miss opportunities and may be a good form of self-protection, greed may lead to overnight wealth, and most of the time it is self destructive. The vast majority have become the godfathers of other people's lives, rarely convincing themselves to move in a positive direction. It's better to put this energy into oneself, so that we can go further. Regardless of the market situation and gains and losses of a week, it has become a thing of the past. What we should do is to face it calmly. I believe that at this moment, when we see the investment friends of CICC, they may have been slightly injured on the battlefield or on the brink of extinction, but I believe you have not abandoned treatment. Encountering that is fate destined by heaven. In the rain, Teacher Jin is willing to conquer the world with you and help you rise again.
Market Review and Analysis
During the day, the crude oil asphalt was basically in a sticky state, until it gained some upper hand in the evening and once again stood up51.02At the critical juncture, but the good times did not last long, little did they know that the bears had accumulated their strength for a long time and suddenly exerted their strength, causing the bulls to be defeated and thus breaking out of the new low of the day50.21The US dollar, with the bulls continuing to exert their strength in the future, eventually forms a evenly matched trend. Although the back and forth market trends are confusing, for investment friends who follow CICC, the profits from it are also considerable. The end of the week is approaching, and CICC will evaluate its future operational strategies.
There are three reasons for the sharp decline in short selling power of crude oil asphalt
1Today, the US dollar received strong support from four positive factors, and there seems to be no sign of Hillary being in trouble in the latest round of debate. The prospect of the election provides support for the US dollar. The strengthening of the US dollar has brought downward pressure on oil prices.
2Increased crude oil production in Iran and Liberia
According to an Iranian news agency, Iran's oil minister has stated that the newly signed contract will help Iran achieve crude oil production50010000 barrels/Daily goals. And Libyan senior oil officials on Tuesday(10month18day)Indicating that LibyaWahaThe oil field resumed production last week, helping the country's crude oil production reach5810000 barrels/Day.
3、OPECThe monthly report shows an increase in crude oil production
OPECThe monthly report shows that,9monthOPECRising crude oil production2210000 barrels/Solstice333910000 barrels/Day,8Monthly correction to3317.4Ten thousand barrels. expect2016Nian FeiOPECThe decrease in crude oil supply6810000 barrels/Day, but2017The year will rise2410000 barrels/Day. expect2017The global oversupply of crude oil will shift from76Ten thousand barrels increased to8010000 barrels/day.
There are two reasons for the surge in crude oil asphalt
1Russia promises to freeze production
Russian Minister of EnergyAlexanderNovakOn Friday of this week, it was stated that the oil freeze agreement is necessary to boost oil prices and that recommendations will be made to the Saudi Minister of Energy over the weekend.OPECMember states will11month30The summit was held in Vienna today with the aim of finding a common position on the issue of production reduction. At this summit, production quotas for each member country may be determined.
2Tightening of spot market
There are signs that the spot market is tightening after two years of oversupply, which supports oil prices. Recently, the fundamentals of the oil market have turned bullish. Demand is stabilizing,OPECThe production has reached its peak(And if the production restriction is implemented, the production will also decrease)The decrease in global inventory means that the market is more balanced than many people think.
Analysis of the Future Market Trends of Crude Oil Asphalt and Operational Strategies
At the beginning of the US market, the bearish strategy given proved to be correct after the market emerged. Oil prices are facing bearish factors such as the rise of the US dollar and Russia's continued increase in production, leading to a rapid decline in the market and a period of time when it has reached a certain level50.2The US dollar has a significant downward trend50The trend of the US dollar is causing market panic. Later, due to Russia's commitment to frozen production, oil prices rose. Although the daily trend is still dominated by bulls, the upward movement can gradually weaken and weaken, which is very unfavorable for bulls. Yesterday, a bearish candlestick was collected, swallowing up Wednesday's bullish candlestick. According to the four hour chart, the trend of crude oil has already gone down. On Thursday, crude oil did not continue to break the previous high but fell down. It is already difficult to rise, and bulls have lost opportunities and have been breaking back and forth50.7Support indicates that we are currently in a consolidation phase, waiting for a better downturn. Unless there is a major change in the fundamentals and the trend is currently downward, we can take advantage of the trend and remain bearish. There is no need to worry about bulls rising. If we want to rise, we have already risen on Thursday, and short orders are still the main focus for the upper side to pay attention to51.2To suppress and effectively break through51.5-52Follow below49.8To support and effectively break through49.3-49。
Future operation strategy for US crude oil:51.5-51.2Short selling, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target50.5Nearby;
Operational ideas for asphalt aftermarket:4900-4880Short selling, stop loss40Point, look at the target4850Below;
Analysis of Silver's Future Market Trends and Operational Strategies
This week, except for Thursday when the market was slightly higher, silver has been fluctuating and even continuously sideways for the other few days. It can be considered that silver has been sideways this week. In the rain, Teacher Jin believes that there will not be a significant market tonight, and tonight's evening party should still be in a very slow downward trend. From the perspective of the small time line, CICC believes that silver has already peaked and is on a downward trend. From the perspective of the four hour line, the current bullish and bearish trend is not obvious. Although there are very few market trends that we can read from the small time line and the four hour line, CICC still believes that short selling is the main focus before closing.
Suggestions for future operation of spot silver:17.55-17.50Short selling, stop loss17.6, look at the goal17.45-17.40; We do not provide any suggestions for multiple orders at the moment. Please consult the author in a timely manner regarding the actual pricev-letteryuzhongjin8Get more information.
Solving clich é s requires reverse thinking precautions
I know that most of the articles I read today are about being oversold. I have said many times that high oversold or low short positions should find opportunities to get out as soon as possible. No matter which article I read, there will always be reminders for oversold players to leave as soon as possible and not to hold onto them. Even if you make a single order and lose a few points, it's not impossible to make a profit on the next order. It's not impossible to make a profit even if you make a profit later on. Why bother with such an order that may not be able to make a profit, or maybe even lose more than ten points, or even dozens of points? You say you invest for profit, not to shoulder the order, friend! And there are these drawbacks to frequently placing orders:
1The most direct impact of hedging is leading to financial losses. If risk control measures are not taken in a timely manner, in severe cases, it may even lead to liquidation;
2When there is a set of orders, your focus is entirely on floating profits and losses, so you are reluctant to part with it(Because it's all hard-earned money)If you don't cut, you're afraid of continuing to rise or fall. Simultaneously placing orders can create psychological pressure and make people hesitant to proceed with the next order;
3After placing orders, it appears very passive and the position is occupied, which has an impact on subsequent orders. Sometimes, even when opportunities arise, insufficient funds make it impossible to operate.
Message: The market is a cruel place, without any sympathy or pity, no one can truly empathize with the pain of another person. You pierce through your heart with ten thousand arrows, and you feel unbearable pain. It's just your own business. Others may sympathize or sigh, but always remember that if you make the wrong order with the wrong person, the loss will accompany you until you sell out. Sometimes choice is more important than effort.
For more investment information and technical guidance, you can search for "Rain Gold" on Baidu and contact the analyst himself/herself to addV-Letter:yuzhongjin8Or pay attention to the official official account: Golden in the Rain, Bole on the way of investment. You can subscribe for free daily market trend analysis, short-term operation suggestions, and medium - to long-term strategy layout.
writing/Gold in the Rain Online guidance for penguins/vLetter:871986441 The above content is purely original by the author. Please indicate the source when reprinting! |
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