Zhang Yiqiao:10month18Japanese crude oil investors must pay attention to the four important factors that affect crude oil in the future market

　　Zhang Yiqiao:10month18daycrude oil投资者后市必须关注四大重要影响原油的因素

It has been almost a month since the Algerian meeting reached the freeze production agreement, and investors have also been quiet in the joy of taking advantage of the trend and making profits. The trend of crude oil is also changing49reach50On top of it, the market is undergoing consolidation and high level correction, waiting for further directional choices. Crude oil has bravely climbed the peak and reached the top50After a period of consolidation, the integer level has basically been digested50The market psychological resistance level of the integer level, whether the future trend rebounds or falls at this point, still needs further confirmation, and the technical trend is also the actual reaction of the fundamentals. Therefore, we need to pay attention to several influencing factors in the future trend:


　　1.sinceOPECAfter member states reach a freeze production agreement,11月的会议将对具体产量进行进一步的磋商达成协议，虽然表面上达成了冻产，但实际的份额问题时摆在产油国面前的一道更加明显的坎，这道坎跨过去仍然显得相当的困难，其中，沙特和伊朗的明争暗斗仍然将会上演，所以虽有协议，仍然需要关注事态的进一步的发展，我们也可以从中寻找做多和做空的机会。


　　2.OPECAfter reaching the freeze production agreement, Russian President Putin also made supportive remarks, emphasizing that Russia is also prepared to join. Although Putin's speech has sufficient weight, Russia is about to join the freeze production, which also freezes crude oil production at the current highest level in history. What is the significance of this?So superficial articles make or make the market flay, ultimately leading toOPECThe frozen production agreement reached has come to naught.


　　3.随着美国近期的经济数据的向好，美联储内部加息的呼声越来越高，虽然美联储主席耶伦此前的议息会议上再次强调未来加息仍然需要参考经济数据的鸽派言论，但是笔者溦杏zhyq505预计也难以抵挡美联储内部的更多的加息呼声，所以对于耶伦来说，这个冬天或许并非那么好过，在全球经济正常宽松的大背景下，美联储加息或许会对美国经济造成重创，而另一方面也同样不可忽视，美债危机可能随时发酵，如果美国没有偿债能力，政府将再次关门，市场将对美国失去信心，会对原油市场构成一定的支撑。


　　4.基本面决定技术面走势，对于操作上而言，投资者必须做到知其然必须知其所以然，否则盲目的在市场中操作最终的结果将是被动的离开这个市场，所以对于后期走势的基本面的影响笔者威信zhyq505也会根据实际的情况给出实时的操作提示以帮助投资者能够在趋势性的行情中获得财富增值。