张慧理金：2016year10month18日黄金原油操作建议

　　张慧理金：2016year10month18daygoldcrude oilOperation suggestions
　　
Today's Key Financial Data and Events2016year10month18Day Tuesday
　　①08:30The Reserve Bank of Australia announces10Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
　　②16:30britain9monthCPIMonthly rate, UK9Monthly retail sales price index monthly rate
　　③20:30U.S.A9After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate
　　④22:00U.S.A10monthNAHBReal Estate Market Index
　　⑤次日04:30From the United States to10month14Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory
　　
Monday(10month17day)美联储升息前景依然是市场热议的话题，近来良好的经济数据和官员升息言论也支撑美指升至了七个月高位，不过在大涨之后，周一投资者暂时休整，以调整头寸。原油方面，虽然市场仍然关注产油国减产的消息，但这些消息给油价带来的支撑逐渐减弱，取而代之的是原油市场供应过剩的事实，在供应过剩的压力下，油价周一回落收低近1%。
　　
　　美元指数自七个月高位回落，上周连续大涨之后，投资者调整头寸。美元指数已经创下逾一年来的最佳双周表现，自10Since the beginning of the month, it has risen2.5%After a continuous surge, there is some downward pressure on the US dollar.
　　
　　周一美国公布的经济数据表现中规中矩。其中市场关注的工业产出数据基本符合预期。美元上周五受到强劲美国9Supported by monthly retail sales and producer price data, these data are the latest signs of the US economy regaining momentum in the third quarter after a weak performance in the first half of the year.
　　
　　官员言论方面，美联储副主席费希尔周一再纽约发表演讲。不过本次演讲中，费希尔并未谈及12The monthly interest rate hike did not reveal much more about the prospects of monetary policy.
　　
　　费希尔在演讲中指出，美联储非常接近通胀和就业的双重目标，低利率令美联储政策面临更大难度。核心PCEinflation rate1.7%, approaching2%This inflation target, in the post crisis period, has helped with the recovery through Federal Reserve policies. There are points where interest rate cuts can have undue impact, operating at zero interest rates may undermine confidence, and exceeding the goal of full employment may lead to inflation. Currently, both the US and global economies lack growth.
　　
　　市场依然热议产油国减产情况。俄罗斯能源部长称，俄罗斯准备好参与冻产，原油会谈势头向好。沙特、伊朗在会谈中表现得更加灵活，需要针对原油市场采取行动吸引投资。
　　
　　不过产油国减产对油价的支撑逐渐减弱，市场仍然关注当前供应过剩的事实。分析师称，近来虽然油市受到石油输出国组织(OPEC)Member states may take action later next month to support expected support for oil prices, but oversupply still puts pressure on oil prices.
　　
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)9Monthly production reaches3,36010000 barrels/On the day, a record high was set, putting pressure on oil prices.
　　
Technical analysis:
　　
　　现货黄金方面，日线图上经历国庆大跌后已经低位盘整数日，技术面压制较为严重，但目前仍保持持平水平，今日开盘即受到MA10The moving average is suppressed at1255-56Small resistance, more ample space above and below the graph, referenceMA240Moving average to1235Key supports nearby, in conjunction with the attached diagramSTOThe indicator, gold price, may still have a downward trend on the existing foundation.4The hour is almost in a flat state, resistance referenceMA60Moving average1260Nearby, refer to near support1250Nearby, high-altitude operations are the main focus, while low altitude operations are secondary.
　　
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
　　
　　1Above1260Short nearby, stop loss1264, Objective1255-53；
　　
　　2Below1250Long, stop loss1247, Objective1255-57；
　　
　　3, falling below1248, rebound1252-53Short selling, stop loss56, Objective42-40；
　　
　　宁贵沥青方面，至冻产协议达成后，近几个交易日已有企稳迹象，看波段目前价格仍处于相对高位，日线图MA10Mean Square andMA5The moving average crosses below, resistance level4840-50Nearby, while the space below is quite large, and the visibility of the space can be seen4650Nearby, but observing the recent market trend, we should not overly control the profit of short orders. Small supports still exist, and we can pay attention to them separately4750、4700Nearby, high-altitude operations are the main focus;
　　
Suggestions for the operation of Ninggui asphalt:
　　
　　1Above4840-50Short selling, breaking4880Stop loss, target4780-60；
　　
　　2Below4750Buy long, break4700rebound4720Stop loss, target4800Nearby is sufficient;
　　
　　3Recently hung up4650Multiple orders, stop loss40Point80Points.
　　
　　上述内容由分析师张慧理金撰写，文章内容仅供参考。投资有风险，投资者谨慎操作，转载请注明出处。

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