Cad : 低位徘徊待区间破位 ▼(12month19day)

View All · Published on 2007-12-19 14:08:35

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Focus:
•低位徘徊待突破区间
•油价承压抑制加元

加拿大统计局周二公布加拿大11Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Up from last month0.3%, up from the same period last year2.5%，10月时分别为下降0.3%And rising2.4%；11Monthly CoreCPICompared to the previous month, it remained stable and increased compared to the same period last year1.6%； coreCPI同比涨幅为2006year4月以来最低。预估中值显示，11monthCPIUp from last month0.2%, up from the same period last year2.4%； coreCPIGrowth compared to last month0.1%, up from the same period last year1.7%。较预期疲弱的加拿大核心通膨数据一度将加元推低，因报告为加拿大央行明年可能再度降息提供依据。

加元周二变动不大，较此前所及的低点回升，虽然11月通膨数据较预期温和。总体过去两周加元处区间上落，区间上限位于1.0230/50，区间下限则为1.0000，且为目前25天平均线位置，只要加元突破1算关口，则可望加元作进一扬升，以区间争持幅度计算，则可望达至0.9750/70，重叠于50天平均线，较近支持可参考于0.99关口。反之，若见跌破1.0230/50，则下跌技术幅度可望延伸至1.0460/80Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com)