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Federal Reserve9月纪要强化近期加息预期,或于11Monthly progress

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Huitong Network10month13Daily News - Thursday Beijing Time(10month13day)Federal Open Market Committee of the United States(FOMC)公布了9月货币政策会议纪要,加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)发表了对此次纪要的看法,具体如下。

CIBC: Federal Reserve9月纪要强化近期加息预期,或于11Monthly progress

Federal Reserve9月货币政策会议后,鹰派的货币政策声明和对9月维稳持异议的三位委员点燃了美联储加息的预期,此次公布的纪要再度加强了市场对其近期加息的预期。

堪萨斯城联储主席乔治、克里夫兰联储主席梅斯特和波士顿联储主席罗森格伦对美联储9月维稳利率持有异议,支持加息。

尽管委员们对美国经济疲软程度的异议仍维持在合理的程度,但FOMC似乎逐步迈向年内稍晚加息。此外值得注意的是,9月会议时委员们对加息与否做出了合理的争论,多位委员认为“相对很快”需要加息。

纪要还显示,部分委员认为9月货币政策利率决议是一个势均力敌的选择,尽管这些委员仍意欲见到更多经济改善的迹象,但其他委员仍偏向加息,不过未明确提前透露FOMC意图。

既然FOMC已发出警示信号,只要美国经济持续表现良好,那么当前的问题似乎是年内美联储何时,而非是否加息。美联储下次利率决议将在11month1-2日举行,当前显然存加息可能。


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