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小摩:欧元受限于1.1056-1.1313区间,短期趋势不明

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  汇通网10month11Daily News - Tuesday(10month11day)JPMorgan Chase(JP Morgan)表示,七周前欧元兑美元未能站稳于E浪目标1.1347上方,令其处于巨大的风险中,即一年半的交投区间宽度可能减半,且风险偏下行。具体观点如下。
  小摩:欧元受限于1.1056-1.1313区间,短期趋势不明
  只有上破8Monthly high point1.1367,并最终突破至1.1426/50上方,才将改变当前趋势,令其再度依次上测前期高点1.1617and1.1712,并可能上摸至1.1811。
  因此考虑到汇价可能突破前期跌势的76.4%斐波那契回撤位,最有可能的情况是,欧元上破1.1500,解除短期的卖压。若依次上破1.1876and1.2042,预计长期内将反转跌势。
  短期密切关注三角形交投区间1.1056-1.1313,一旦突破交投区间,将提供是较强势复苏,还是延续跌势的初步信号。
  小时图上若决定性上破1.1347,此后料依次上测1.1426/50、1.1617and1.1712。然而若跌破1.1056/49,可能令汇价受限于1.0710-1.0782窄幅区间。
  若下破1.0710,将确认长期内延续跌势,目标依次下看1.0072、0.9652and0.9298。
Beijing Time15:20,欧元兑美元报1.1111/13。
euro http://www.fx678.com/news/currency/EUR.html
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