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London Gold(12month10day)

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Londongoldget into12月份之第一周已有近30美元波幅,最高触及806.70美元,受压于25天平均线,一度曾低见至777美元,但在技术上亦得以在50天平均线寻获支撑,总体维持整固发展。金价上周跟随汇市及油市的波动,走出了一轮探低回升的行情。金价依旧处于宽幅震荡格局中,由于年尾及本周美国议息关系,市场走势仍见审慎,并且预料短期难以走出明确之单边走向,故将见金价较大机会延续上周之区间上落局面。

波浪理论分析,黄金有机会运行大型上升( V )Within the waves3Within the waves(v)Stretching within the wavesiii浪。由于黄金已在上周一度再跌至777水平,因并没有跌穿11month19Daily low775水平,故黄金的大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iv)伸延小浪内的第(c)浪确有机会在上周二的最低777水平出现了。假若第(iv)伸延小浪内的第(c)浪运行完毕。而777至上周三的最高807.1便有机会是大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(v)伸延小浪内的第i伸延微浪,而807.1至上周四的最低785.4有机会是大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(v)伸延小浪内的第ii伸延微浪,而785.4至现在有机会为大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(v)伸延小浪内的第iii伸延微浪。预料此第iii伸延微浪在本周或下周将升至837.1以上水平,更有机会升穿845.9水平。故本周黄金将先升穿807阻力位后再升至827-837之间水平。此外,亦要提防黄金还未完成大型第( V )Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iv)伸延小浪内的第(c)Waves.

技术分析而言,10Month and11月金价在797形成水平线,于上周曾高试至807美元,同时碰回下方4个月平均线支撑,后市或见上落波幅将逐渐扩大。上方倘若可突破807阻力,进一步上试目标则看至821or836水平;反之,若下方见失守777水平,将有机会回探771and747Horizontal. and9个月平均线支撑目前见于715水平。周线图所见,技术形势仍较逊色,价位处于4Zhou and9周平均线下方,再者金价亦已见维持两周在797水平下方收市,倘若本周之收市价位依然处于此区下方,短期金价仍倾向调整发展。图表上见目前25周平均线处于722水平。日线图方面,4天平均线、9天平均线与价位持续四日都处于交互纠缠之状态,显示金价走势仍处待变。上方见明显阻力为25The balance moving average is at805水平,假若金价可上破805/807水平,金价将可望再度走高发展,上试821/823水平;下方支持预计为50天平均线,见于782水平,此区同时亦为双顶形态之颈线,失守将有机会下试779/777水平,及后收市若未可重上此区,则调整空间可延伸至763水平;同时金价整体形成亦将转型为于下降通道内运行。短期策略可于788to803区间上落买卖,即市阻力为811水平,支持则于782USD.

London Gold 12month10Solstice12month14Daily predicted wave amplitude:
Support bit:786.00 – 779.00 – 771.00 – 763.00
Resistance level:810.00 – 821.00 – 823.00

London Gold 12month10day
Predicting early wave amplitude: 788.00 – 797.00
Support bit:782.40 – 779.00
Resistance level:802.30 – 811.00

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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