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Li Wanxi:9month21API利多油价跳空高开,EIA能否再次博取头彩
Wednesday Beijing Time(9month21day)before dawn4:30American Petroleum Institute(API)According to the published data, as of9month16Day of the Week, USAAPIcrude oil库存再次意外锐减749.7Ten thousand barrels, expected increase225万桶。库欣原油库存减少增加40.7万桶,与此同时,API汽油库存意外大减245.3Ten thousand barrels. United StatesWTIcrude oilfutures价格在电子盘交易中短线跳涨。
笔者认为继此前美国原油库存因受飓风影响而锐减之后,市场预期美国原油库存在经历过上次小幅下降之后将录得上涨,但是API原油库存数据显示却再次意外大减,这可能与美国Colonial汽油管道泄漏有关,接下来市场需要关注EIA原油库存数据,如果EIA数据显示美国原油库存同样大幅削减,李宛晰威信(js6486)认为油价料将短期受到一定支撑。 eveningEIA数据及行情预测:
晚间美国能源信息署将公布EIA原油库存数据,9month9日当周所公布的原油库存数据为-355.9万桶,市场对于9month16日当周原油库存数据预测为312.5万桶,预期利空于原油及沥青,利好美元指数。对于本周三(9month21day)22:30所公布的原油库存数据,笔者认为有如下三种情况:
1、当公布的实际值大于312.5万桶时,那么单边利好于美元指数,原油及沥青会单边下跌,投资者顺势跟进空单即可。
2、当公布的实际值小于-355.9万桶时,会单边利空美元指数,原油及沥青会出现单边上涨,投资者顺势跟进空单即可。
3、你在或者不在,EIAAll here, quietly approaching;Are you sure you're not prepared? Opportunities are here, unexpected. Jiawei Xinjs6486The flower of wealth has bloomed, waiting for you to pick. The east wind has arrived, sending you up to the blue clouds.
4、当公布的实际值介于-355.9Ten thousand barrels and312.5万桶时,美元指数会先跌后涨,而原油及沥青会出现先涨后跌的情况,当实际值越接近312.5万桶时,涨幅越有限