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12month6日重要数据公布:

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13:00 Japan10Monthly leading indicators•Previous value 0.0
14:45 Switzerland11Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate during menstruation•forecast2.6%•Previous value2.6%
14:45 Switzerland11Unemployment rate without seasonal adjustment per month•forecast2.7%•Previous value2.6%
19:00 Germany10Monthly industrial order rate•forecast0.9%•Previous value-2.5%
20:00 英国央行议息会议公布
20:45 European Central Bank(ECB)议息会议公布
21:30 Number of first weekly claims for unemployment assistance in the United States•forecast3.4ten thousand people•Previous value3.52ten thousand people
21:30 Canada10月营建许可•forecast0.5%•Previous value-1.7%
23:00 Canada11monthIveyPurchasing Manager Index(PMI)•forecast55.0•Previous value57.1

12month5day

港金息率:低息 40 Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:801.75
London gold afternoon fixing price:793.00
London Silver Set Price:14.34
黄金伦敦收盘价(00:15):795.10 / 795.80
黄金纽约收盘价(03:15):795.50 / 796.20
NYMEX 2月期金:
开市价:804.50 - 收市价:803.80
Maximum: 806.80 - 最低: 798.00
StreetTracks Gold Trust (GLD) Gold holdings: 12month5day ― 601.45ton

周三公布的数据显示,美国企业11月增加员工的步伐为一年来最快,且第三季生产率增幅为四年来最强劲,扫清了一部分近期的经济阴霾。但另外有数据显示11月服务业成长下滑,同时一项政府报告称美国经济衰退的风险"rise",表明经济成长仍可能困难重重。意外强劲的就业数据周三占据主导地位,显示房市和金融市场危机或许不像原先担心得那么危害重大,下周美国联邦储备理事会(FED)可能无需大幅降息。据民间就业服务机构ADP Employer Services周三发布的报告,11月美国民间部门就业人口增加18.9万人,远高于预估中值增加5万人。受次优抵押贷款问题冲击最大的房屋营建和金融行业显示出稳定的迹象。这促使分析师揣测全球信贷危机对经济成长的冲击可能不像最初预期得那么严重。该数据令市场寄望周五将公布的非农就业人口增幅将高于预期,美国联邦储备理事会(FED)Interest rate reduction50个基点的预期降温,带动美元上涨。利率futures走势显示,联储降息50个基点的机率为38%BelowADP数据公布前的54%。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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