Wanxin Guier:9.15原油沥青中秋节行情分析暴跌原因多单解套

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Wednesday Beijing Time（9month14日）晚22:30United States Energy Information Administration（EIA）Published as of9month9Day and Weekcrude oilReduced inventory recorded55.9万桶，预期值为增加380Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease1451.3Ten thousand barrels. United StatesEIA原油库存连续三周录得下滑。数据公布后，美油布油一度双双上涨。美油先是急速拉升重返45dollar/桶上方，但随后悉数回吐涨幅，现报44.09dollar/Barrel, with a near daily decline2[%]。

很多人疑惑油价明明昨晚EIA利多重启反弹蓄势又为何失败下跌再次创得新低，这是因为在OPEC9月阿尔及尔会议召开之前，OPECandIEA的月度报告给原油市场增加了更多下行压力。与此同时，油价跌势还缘于市场对美国钻井活动增加感到担忧，且前一日油价上涨近1[%]后投资者了结获利，由此油价承压重挫接近3[%]。目前市场焦点转向美国原油库存周度统计数据，以从中判断上周原油库存大幅下降是否是一次性事件。综合分析来看万鑫归尔认为虽然美国原油库存如市场预料的在飓风过后有所增加，但增加幅度不及预期的450Ten thousand barrels,WTIShort term rise in oil prices0.5dollar/bucket;But at the same time, the refined oil depot recorded530.9The increase of ten thousand barrels is8The largest increase in months, with market concerns that crude oil supply will continue to rebound after the hurricane,WTIAs a result, oil prices have risen again45dollar/Falling back above the bucket44-45dollar/The interval of the bucket.

Technical analysis of crude oil:

从目前日线上来看，周一价格大幅反弹后，但是价格并未有效站稳日线布林带中轨，周二价格承压布林带中轨下跌，昨日价格再次走弱，一度跌破44The US dollar is on the front line, and currently there are signs of an opening in the daily bullish trend, with signs of a downward trend in the mid and lower tracks. Combining daily levelsKDJas well asMACDCome up and see, the current daily chartMACDSecondary dead cross scaling, andKDJ已形成死叉向下运行。万鑫归尔建议后市操作上，大周期没有止跌企稳迹象之前建议逢高布局空单为主，低多为辅、如果43.5美元这里受到支撑反弹，建议趁反弹出局，切记，最好不要试图图博小幅多单，这样没有意义，相反会增加风险。

Suggestions for US crude oil operations:

1Suggestions44.6-44.65美元附近空单进场，止损0.4USD, target43.5-43.6Near USD

2Suggestions43.65-43.7Multiple orders entering near the US dollar, stop loss0.4USD, target44.4-44.45Near USD

宁贵沥青操作建议

1Suggest callback4200Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss40Points, target4260nearby

2Suggest a rebound4280Nearby empty orders enter, stop loss40Points, target4200nearby

建议持有多单的朋友们，建议在44.5一线出多留空。后市操作思路上也是在ma5日线之下空头持续发酵。

原油沥青解套操作建议：

建议套多单锁单的，建议在44.5一线损多留空，严格止损44.8dollar

Suggest using43.8附近可轻仓搏取一个短多，止损43.5USD, target44.3nearby

万鑫归尔语录：当市场朝着一个方向运行时，在没有外在力量改变的情况下，将继续维持这种方向。当你发现这种下跌模式开启后，这并不是结束，而是开始。

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