Li Wanxi:9month14 API增幅不及预期，晚间EIA将迎来空头的袭击

Li Wanxi:9month14 API增幅不及预期，晚间EIA将迎来空头的袭击

　　最新公布的API库存增幅远不及预期，但精炼油库存录得8个月来最大增幅，油价在混乱的数据下短暂走高后回跌;早前IEA月报做出一项惊人改变，重挫多头信心。投资者聚焦今夜EIA报告，以判断上周crude oil库存大降是否是一次性事件。

　　至于形态上，原油价格呈现空头吞噬形态，预示着未来将进一步下调。日结低于9month1Daily low point43.02表示进一步目标位与8month11Daily low point41.08.上行方面，突破下降趋势线阻力区47.60则表示目标为8month22Daily high point48.97.光上周五的一根阴线暂时谈不上说改变了趋势、毕竟周图还是在蓄势阶段。不过也显示出了日图的冲高乏力。

　　从四小时走势图来看，K线跌破布林带中轨后，在靠近中轨下方陷入盘整，布林带通道有收口迹象，料涨跌幅也有所收窄，上方46.5美元位置仍形成压力。附图MACD指标快慢线在零轴上方粘合走平，绿色动能柱持续缩量;RSI指标三线粘合基本走平。综合来看，短期内油价走势偏弱，将震荡下跌，笔者建议反弹空为主。(When making investments, the most difficult thing to grasp is to enter and exit the market, choose a good teacher, and have a good team that will bring lifelong benefits, no more losses, and reduce hedging. Our common goal is to achieve win-win results. Welcome to add Li Wanxi's signaljs6486)

　　日内具体操作策略

　　1.44.5-44.6Long, stop loss0.3US dollars, look at the target45.2-45.3。

　　2.45.8-46.0Short selling, stop loss0.3US dollars, look at the target45.0Around the US dollar.

Suggestions for spot asphalt operation:

　　1.4270-4280Long, stop loss35Point, look at the target4340-4350。

　　2.4380-4400Short selling, stop loss35Point, look at the target4300-4320。

　　3.Add Wei, Xinjs6486Technical analysis and discussion on today's market situation.