Su Qianqin:9month6原油短线冲高受挫，二次下探欲破新低（做单必读）

1crude oil基本面解读：

The main factors currently affecting the crude oil market are the production freeze agreement, the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, and supply and demand. Regarding frozen production, the differences between the main member countries Saudi Arabia and Iran are still one of the main factors in whether the agreement has been reached. And the author believes that even if a freeze production agreement is reached, the market may become increasingly indifferent to the consequences of this matter, and whether to comply with the agreement is also a question. So I don't have much hope for reaching a frozen production agreement. However, for September, I still believe thatOPECThe attitudes or positions of member countries on how to boost crude oil prices will become the main driving force for the short-term rebound of crude oil prices, and bold predictions will be madeOPECEach member state9月底阿尔及利亚召开非正式会议之前，原油价格将会维持窄幅震荡。更多市场走势及行情解析加苏倩芩薇信xly645Learn more.

　　二、原油技术性解析：

Crude oil overall closed lower last week, but fell below after a volatile opening at the beginning of the week46.40.Breaking the previous consolidation range. Consistent with the daily review on Monday. Narrow range consolidation. Simultaneously coordinated with the daily chart crossKLine. Lower broken crossKThe bottom will deepen and adjust, but fell below last week46.40Afterwards, I kept bearish all the way. And multiple times in the46.0Place short orders on the top layout. Lowest downward measurement within the week43.0First line. Coincidentally39.20Rising to48.90Callback0.618的位置。首次支撑作用显现。拖至周五配合非农的利空美元。美元短线受挫。提振原油短暂反弹，不过空间不算大。周图最终还是收成了阴线。

Weekly chart double negative adjustment,KThe line looks like it needs to be retracted39.20The price rises. However, the moving average system has become a divergence of bulls. This is also a relatively differentiated area. The crude oil price grid is wrapped around the short-term moving average for consolidation. The current trend is uncertain, as shown in the weekly chart39.20Low point retreat. Is it a point to stop falling and stabilize. If it stabilizes in this position. So after the second dip this week, it will reverse and rise. If we make further adjustments on the contrary. near39.20就容易下破。一旦下破就会加深周图调整。目前周图中线趋势不明朗，等待选择。

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Author: Su Qianqin

Time:2016.9.6