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张慧理金:加息预期再升温,gold承压主高空
Monday(8.29)英市休市,美盘交投也较为清淡,投资者逐渐消化上周美联储官员们发表的鹰派言论,并聚焦本周五美国非农就业报告,美元指数周一整体维持震荡交投,现货黄金探底回升,一度刷新一个月低点,不过随后因多头的抵抗回升至1320Near the US dollar, but considering the Federal Reserve9The expectation of monthly interest rate hikes has significantly increased, and in the eveningPCEThe price index is relatively optimistic, and the overall pressure on gold prices remains significant;crude oilThe market, as Iraq and Iran have plans to increase production and compete for market share,9The hope of achieving frozen production on a monthly basis has become even more slim, with oil prices continuing to decline by more than1%,后市仍有继续大跌的风险。关注薇信公.终号张慧理金或扣2372947514体验群166029930enter.群必填zhlj .
Yesterday evening'sPCEThe price index and personal consumption data are also quite impressive, continuing to provide support for the Federal Reserve's expectation of interest rate hikes, which makes the downward risk of gold prices still significant. However, gold bulls remain resilient, and the market is still waiting for the release of the US this week7Monthly non farm employment report. Data display, United States7monthPCEAnnual growth rate of price index0.8%, meets expectations but falls short of the previous value, with the previous value indicating growth0.9%; U.S.A7Monthly CorePCEAnnual growth rate of price index1.6%Better than expected, expected growth1.5%Previous value growth1.6%。
美国通胀虽然有所企稳,但是若想美联储下定决心加息,仍需进一步改善。数据还显示,美国7Monthly personal expenditure growth rate0.3%Meets expectations but falls below the previous value, with the previous value rounded up to0.5%; U.S.A7Monthly growth rate of actual personal consumption expenditure0.3%Better than expected, expected growth0.2%, previous value up cultivation0.4%. Reuters commentary suggests that personal consumption has been growing for four consecutive months, mainly due to strong demand for cars in the United States, tightening labor markets leading to higher wages, and rising property and stock prices increasing household wealth. This is conducive to boosting economic growth, offsetting the significant decline in inventory and commercial investment, or suggesting that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.
In terms of spot gold, the daily chart did not continue to decline yesterday, but instead collected a small yang, which in the short term is affected by the daily chartBOLLThe support of the lower rail line is still displayed today1315Nearby, pay attention to the resistance aboveMA60Mean Line and Track Line Indicators in the Channel, Roughly1326-28First line, combined with the attached imagestoThe strength of the indicator golden cross is slightly weak, so be cautious of a mid way decline in the market,4At present, the price of gold has been fluctuating in the past few hoursBOLLAbove the middle rail line, there is some support below, and attention should be paid to the upward spaceMA30Mean Square andBOLLPressure on the upper rail line, roughly1326-27First line, with attached imagestoThe indicator golden cross has been depleted, and the author suggests using a high-altitude strategy temporarily for operation.
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
1Above1326-28Short selling, stop loss1330On, target1320-18frontline;
2First time below1315-16Long nearby, stop loss1311, Objective1322That's enough;
In terms of Ninggui asphalt, the daily chart showed that the upper shadow line was too long when closing last Friday, and it was affected by the opening on MondayMA5The moving average continues to suppress the downward trend, but ultimately it is also affected byMA240The moving average support received a small downward shadow yesterday, and today's opening is similar to yesterday'sMA5The moving average is suppressed by4530Nearby, there is a small amount of space below, the first supportMA240Moving average4480First line, second supportMA66of4450支撑,操作上薇信公众号张慧理金建议尽量高空为主。
Ninggui Asphalt Operation Suggestions:
1Opening price4540Short selling and stop loss can be done nearby40Points, target4480Nearby;
2Second support4450Try to go long nearby and stop loss40Points, target4500-20That's enough;
Today's Key Financial Data and Events2016year8month30Day Tuesday
15:00Switzerland8monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
16:30britain7Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
17:00eurozone8Monthly economic prosperity index8Monthly Industrial Prosperity Index8Final value of monthly consumer confidence index
20:00Germany8monthCPIInitial monthly rate
20:30Canadian Q2 Current Account
21:00U.S.A6monthS& /CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
22:00U.S.A8Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index
The next day04:30From the United States to8month26Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory
以上文章由分析师张慧理金撰写,文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资有风险,投资者谨慎操作,转载请注明出处。
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