Su Qianqin:8month29如何走出现货投资连续亏损的泥潭

　　做投机操作有的时候和打牌一样，手顺的时候似乎怎么做都赚钱，但手不顺的时候，怎么做都亏。当然打牌完全是运气的原因，没有办法能够扭转，而市场操作则不同，你完全有能力通过自身的努力改变这种被动局面。下面我谈谈我们经常遇到的能让我们连续亏损的几种情况和相应的解决办法。

1、 What to do if mainstream trends are misread?

This situation is the scariest of all losses, but it is also the best solution. This situation often occurs when a sharp mainstream trend emerges, but one has missed the opportunity and is hesitant to follow the trend. Therefore, they constantly try to rebound in the downward trend or make a correction in the upward trend, and find local tops and bottoms when the trend is very strong. Because the direction was wrong from the beginning, after being stopped, the trend has already been running for a period of time, and the psychology is always unbalanced. I always feel that the trend is going to reverse or rebound, so I don't have the courage to follow the trend and operate in the opposite direction, which is naturally a continuous loss.

When dealing with this situation, it is important not to resist the trend. If you continue to stop losing, you cannot die. However, if you resist the trend, once it eventually accelerates, it will force you to cut above the sky high or floor high price. After this situation occurs, you need to calmly judge the trend, re evaluate the large form of the trend, and see where the target position of the trend on the weekly chart should be. It is necessary to combine the form with the large cycle to see how much space there should be in the next big time window at the current trend rate, and whether the large wave form supports its movement there, and whether there is important support or pressure there. If the position of the big target is accurately determined through judgment, then abandon the idea of eating pullbacks and rebounds in operation, patiently wait for the pullback or rebound to enter the market. At this time, what needs to be done is to use waves to determine whether there will be a significant adjustment in the current position.

　　如果暂时不会，那所有调整都可能是小级别的修正，操作上逢回调买进或者逢反弹卖出，但控制好仓位，因为你已经没有做到趋势的启动点，那半山腰跟进仓位就要控制好，因为你跟进后可能趋势再做一个阶段就真的要出现较大幅度的调整了，所以入市的仓位要把握好是出市时机，其实这个操作对于你前面连续亏损来说，并不能挽回很多，但通过操作获得的利润，一能让你恢复操作的信心，二能帮你规避了趋势没有做完你继续反向操作的可能，当行情真的到了该调整的时候，你的节奏就踏正了，就可以按原来的分析一步步正常操作。

2、 What should I do if I chase up and down in a large box and get my mouth slapped back and forth?

This situation often occurs after a large trend has ended, such as when a large uptrend has come to an end, but no one knows beforehand that it may experience a long period of oscillation and sideways trading. After a shallow pullback, it immediately catches up with the first rise, but then turns around and hits your stop loss. Moreover, if it continues to fall after hitting the stop loss, it feels like it has turned around and immediately follows up to short, resulting in being stopped. It's okay to do it twice at a time, but a large consolidation band often slaps people a few times in a row because at this time, the trend chart is bullish like a pullback, bearish like a big peak. Therefore, no one can have a firm view of the future market, and lack of confidence in the trend will cause them to chase up and fall like headless flies, and be repeatedly criticized for continuous losses.

When you reflect on the market after this situation occurs, you should pay attention to it. It is different from losing money in a unilateral trend because the unilateral trend is very sharp, and you know the direction in your heart, but you don't have the courage to follow the trend and lose money. In a broad oscillation band, the loss is exactly the opposite, as you always worry about missing out on a major trend and losing money in line with the trend. When you continue to lose money, you should stop operating. Don't immediately think in reverse, whether I should sell high and buy low according to the consolidation trend, because when you discover that it is an oscillating consolidation band, this consolidation band will not be maintained for a long time, and there will be no cheaper options for you to pick up. At this time, you need to stop operating. Calmly assess whether the market trend is in a large-scale relay form. If it is found to be a large-scale relay pattern, then it is necessary to judge its internal trend structure based on the relay pattern, and at the same time, calculate how long the market may continue to consolidate based on the large-scale cycle. And if it is confirmed to be a relay pattern, then you will set the direction of your operation to only operate in one direction, which is to operate in the original trend direction. If it is originally an upward trend, then you will only buy on dips. Perhaps one or two breakthroughs did not form a breakthrough, and you did not gain much profit, but in the end, after it breaks through, your order will definitely follow the trend, and then you can hold it in the middle line.

　　处理这种情况的手法和单边势不同，单边势中发现做反了，那思路扭转过来马上就找机会进，因为行情不会等你，而盘整势连续亏损后最好的操作是停下来观望，仔细研究行情，等待合适的介入点。

3、 What should we do if we lose money on both the upward and downward trends of oscillation?

　　在市场走势中有这样的一种情况也经常出现，那就是振荡趋势。等我们看出来趋势是个振荡趋势后，那就要仔细分析，它的走势是否存在由振荡趋势演变为加速趋势的可能，象crude oil的走势，如果是从一个大底或者大顶上出现的振荡趋势，那有可能会演变成转势最后出现加速走势，如果出现在一个更大级别的振荡带里面的振荡趋势，那就要从更大的形态本身分析它的未来走向，而且看它是否走出圆弧的走势，振荡下跌趋势的上面或者振荡上行趋势的下面一出圆弧，那表明它要加速了，反向单子要立刻离场。如果判断出来这段振荡趋势不过是对原来主流趋势的一种修正方法，那操作上还是要选择和振荡趋势方向相反的方向操作，只是要注意趋势运行的周期和它可能还要运行的空间，对付这种趋势切忌不要因为它反复折磨你使你亏钱而反手去追它，因为一般情况振荡-Unilateral-Oscillation always runs alternately, and once you follow the oscillation trend, it is highly likely that it will be killed even harder by the subsequent unilateral trend.

The situation of continuous losses varies, and the methods of dealing with them also vary. However, one thing is the same: never let losses ruin your mentality at any time. We can lose money, but we cannot lose heart. Once our psychological defense line is disrupted, you have no countermeasures in any situation, and the result is that we are stuck in a quagmire, and the more we struggle, the more losses we will incur. How can we avoid any problems with our psychological defense line? The prerequisite is to strictly manage our funds in any operation, because as long as we manage our funds well, continuous losses may cause significant losses to your funds, but it will not affect your combat effectiveness. A disastrous loss in a heavy position may result in a long-term inability to recover.

　　四、笔者苏倩芩寄语：

　　献给所有在现货投资中亏损过的朋友：人生不如意十之八九，但不经历风雨，怎可见彩虹。相信阳光就在风雨之后，不要以一时之得而喜，更不能以一时之失而悲，心态平静才是投资的秘诀。如果您对现货投资有任何疑问和不解，请加笔者苏倩芩薇信xly645，多份建议就多份参考，最后愿您在现货投资市场中步步高升，财源滚滚。

Author: Su Qianqin

　　2016.8.29