张慧理金：耶伦讲话进入倒计时，黄金窄幅整理蓄势突破

张慧理金：耶伦讲话进入倒计时，gold窄幅整理蓄势突破
　　
　　
　　本周初的市场较为清淡，金价连续震荡，波动的区域也基本没有太大变化，尽管周二金价曾上破这个狭窄区间的上轨压制，但是之后便很快再次回归这个区域，且今天的走势较之前两个交易日，目前来看显得更加平静。行情就像迷失在大雾弥漫的森林里，不辨方向，趋势不明。在线分析张慧理金扣2372947514，体验群166029930enter.群必填zhlj , WeChatzhlj237.
　　
　　相比上周的多次强势突破1350And probe upwards1360Resistance has made the market extremely weak this week. The first two trading days basically ran on1345Below, and below in the short term1335-1330区间支撑仍是强而有力。但张慧本周是比较看空的，交易策略也基本以空单为主。因为薇信公众号张慧理金认为如果要涨的话，上个星期就应该能突破上方阻力了，而错过机会之后，本周向下回踩蓄能的概率就大了很多。再加上美联储多位官员发表鹰派讲话，市场对于加息预期又大幅升温，这或是本周前几个交易日行情走势萎靡的主因。但最终的定论还是需要等待周五耶伦的讲话，其言论无论是偏鹰还是偏鸽或在一定程度上能助推行情突破近期窄幅震荡的格局。
　　
　　随着近期美联储鹰派开始重新抬头，金价的涨势开始放慢。特别是7月份行情冲高回落以来，八月份基本维持在三十个点左右的区间内窄幅震荡，而八月份剩余的交易日已经不多了，想在月尾有所突破已经是难上加难，目前就看多空角力之下，行情是收阳还是收阴，这或对后市的行情有一定的指引作用。下半年的主要事件就是美联储加息问题以及美国大选，这两大事件如果再次出现“黑天鹅”事件，那么对行情的影响也将是极大的。目前我们也只能跟随市场走一步是一步，不需有过多的猜测和预测，只要跟随行情亦步亦趋就可。而日内行情方面，目前的行情波动极小，基本没有什么交易空间，目前笔者也建议观望。上方如突破1340Or fall below1335Only then will there be a market trend, and the probability of a one-sided market trend today is not high. We can wait for the market to come out before going high and low.
　
　　日内黄金的走势十分平静。日线以及4On the hour chart,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线结成死叉，为金价的反弹形成阻力，而1330作为最近一段时间金价的关键支撑，黄金触及这个位置都会遇到比较强劲的反弹。最近的调整，黄金已经显现出了低点不断上移的趋势，昨日金价下探不破前低，今天金价的反弹起涨点较之周二再次攀升，这种情况下，黄金随时可能迎来一波强劲的拉升，当然前提是技术面与基本面的情况不能相违背。
　　
Spot gold trading at single point:
　　
　　1If there is a breakthrough above1340, waiting1343-1345Frontline entry empty orders, stop loss1348Look at the target below1335-1333-1330frontline;
　　
　　2If it falls below1335wait for1332-1328Long on the front line, stop loss1325On the target1336-1338Frontline, breakthrough can be held and seen1343Nearby;
　　
　　3、如行情意外突破震荡区间，具体做单张慧理金根据行情即时给出。
　　
United StatesAPIData display as of8month19Day of the Week, USAcrude oilInventory increase446.4Ten thousand barrels, increasing inventory of Kuxin crude oil41.7Ten thousand barrels.
　　
Although the expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates has reignited, the oil market is not lacking in favorable factors,9The OPEC will renegotiate the freeze on production in the month of, and even Iran, which has been opposing the freeze, has stated this week that it will attend the meeting. Iran may participate in the meetingOPECThe meeting will cooperate with the freeze production, which means Iran's attitude is warming up. Previously, Saudi Arabia and Russia had hinted that they would stabilize the market. The attitude of these three countries is very important for the direction of the oil market, because9At the monthly meeting, Saudi Arabia and Iran's crude oil production had already reached its peak, which may be the key to Iran's shift in attitude(The significant increase in crude oil production has led to low oil prices, lowered profits, and increased production costs. After lifting the ban for a period of time, Iran may no longer be focusing on seizing market share and ignoring production costs to extract crude oil.). The trend of crude oil asphalt needs to be closely monitored in the upcoming week to be announced in the eveningEIAInventory data, if the data continues to be bearish, asphalt will further decline.
　　
Single point positioning for asphalt section:
　　
　　1Upward rebound4650-4670Short on the front line, stop loss4700Look at the target below4600-4580-4550frontline;
　　
　　2Step back below4500-4480Long on the front line, stop loss4450On the target4580-4600frontline;
　　
　　3If the market breaks through in the evening, there is no rush to follow up on orders. You can wait for the market to stabilize before entering the market.
　　
　　晚间重点关注：
　　
　　21:00U.S.A6monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index
　　
　　22:00U.S.A7Annualized total monthly housing sales
　　
　　22:30From the United States to8month19Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
　　
　　以上文章由分析师张慧理金撰写，文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资有风险，投资者谨慎操作，转载请注明出处