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Fei Yifei:8.17 金价仍未破1330-1360,会议纪要能否大反转

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The United States announced on Tuesday7monthCPI同步增长0.8%Below0.9%的预期,环比持平,符合预期。核心CPIMonth on month growth0.1%, year-on-year growth2.2%,双双不及预期。但核心CPI同比增速连续第9个月高于美联储略低于2%的通胀目标。美国7月新屋开工环比增加2.1%,好于预期的缩减0.8%。新屋开工数据尽管每月并不稳定,但是在近一年中变化范围较小,这可能暗示着住宅房地产较难在后衰退时期有所回升。
  
Thursday Beijing Time(8month18day)02:00Federal Open Market Committee of the United States(FOMC)To be announced7月货币政策会议纪要。据彭博报道,该会议纪要可能将解释为什么美联储没有暗示下一步行动的时机。7月底美联储举行FOMC会议的时候,美国劳动力市场繁荣景象昙花一现,英国脱欧也没有给金融市场带来太大的损失。但值得注意的是,尽管会后FOMC声明表示“近期经济前景的风险已经消退”,但没有释放出加息的信号。虽然美国短期的经济前景看起来较为乐观,但是一些长期的问题增加了美联储加息的不确定性,例如经济增长放缓。
  
  冻产预期再度升温支撑油价。OPEC消息人士称,该组织可能在下个月与非OPEC产油国会晤时恢复冻产磋商。该消息人士并称,沙特赞成价格支撑举措。布伦特和美国crude oil自上周四以来均上涨了逾11%,之前沙特能源、工业和矿产资源大臣法力赫(Khalidal-Falih)称,沙特愿意与其它产油国一道致力于稳定油价。俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克称,俄罗斯和OPEC能源官员在维也纳进行了会晤,讨论了油市。俄罗斯与OPEC之间的下一个能源对话将于10月在维也纳进行。诺瓦克还表示他们也就双方关系中的其他问题进行了接触。
  
Technical aspect:
  
  gold
  
  现货黄金隔夜录的一根长上引小阳线,金价近期一直未能打破1330-1360震荡区间,上方多次试探1357-1358一线阻力位均已失败告终,主图上boll开口走平运行中,MA均线密集于boll中轨一带支撑位的1340,笔者费一菲扣扣2930/550/190authority:fyfai8认为操作上重点关注1340得失,附图上STO低位金叉上行,日线上来看多头占优。
  
Single point trading for the gold portion:
  
  1, step back1343-1340Long on the front line, stop loss3Points, target1353-1355
  
  2,1355Short on the front line, stop loss4A point, take a look1348-1345
  
Ninggui Asphalt:
  
  宁贵沥青连续3个交易日录得实体大阳线,至4000关口下方反弹目前最高触及4470一线涨幅超500点,主图上boll开始走平运行中,MA5Upper dressingMA10金叉向上,上轨关注4600一线阻力位,以及早间跳高缺口4400frontline,MACD金叉红能持续放量,日线上来看多头占优,操作上保持回调做多为主。
  
Single point positioning for Ninggui asphalt section:
  
  1, step back4400Long on the front line, stop loss40Point, target4500-4550
  
Today's follow:
  
  16:30britain7Monthly unemployment rate, UK7Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK6Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
  
  17:00Switzerland8monthZEWInvestor confidence index
  
  22:30From the United States to8month12Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
  
The next day01:00Federal Reserve2016yearFOMCVoting Committee Brad delivers a speech
  
The next day02:00Federal ReserveFOMCpublish7Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
  
Disclaimer: The above content was written by Fei Yifei, a specially invited analyst of Hubei Qianguanfeng Trading Co., Ltd,The content of the article is for reference only. Investment carries risks,Investors operate with caution,Take the risk at your own risk.
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