Fei Yifei:8.15 US interest rate hikes are facing difficulties, beware of gold prices going on the wrong track

　　
Most of the time during last Friday's trading sessiongoldfuturesThe prices have shown an upward trend due to disappointing economic data from both China and the United States, which has increased the attractiveness of gold as a safe haven asset. But due to the inability of gold prices to remain above1350dollar/Above the key price range of ounces, Fei Yifei believes that investors should be cautious about the prospects of gold prices. Fei Yifei reminds that if you encounter any problems during investment, please contact Fei Yifei Tencent in a timely manner2930/550/190, prestigefyfai8Get professional answers! Wishing all investors a wealth of wealth and a thriving career! Let's take a look at today's market trend analysis together, Yifei!
　　
Last week, there was not much news, and the overall economic report released by the United States did not meet expectations, providing support for the rebound in gold prices. Approaching the US election, market expectations for the US9The probability of monthly interest rate hikes has greatly decreased, but this year12The expectation of monthly interest rate hikes is starting to heat up. The global stock market has performed well this week, which has led to several rebounds in gold prices this week, all of which have been suppressed by strong bearish sentiment. The technical bearish signals are obvious, and next week gold may usher in a "doomsday";crude oilIn the market, the three major energy institutions have released monthly reports with mixed information, but multipleOPECThe country once again calls for a freeze on production, especially Saudi Arabia, which has stated9monthOPECAnd nonOPECCountries will meet to help oil prices soar more than this week6%。
　　
Last week, apart from the major market trend brought by non-agricultural activities last Friday, it has been in a volatile range for consolidation. However, it seems that major market trends usually occur on the last trading day, which is Friday. This is why people often refer to it as Black Friday, which is Friday this week(8month12day)The financial market is facing a series of economic news data filtering in the United States, and retail sales in the United States, known as terrorist data, are facing challengesPPIDisappointing all, the expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates within the year has suddenly cooled. The financial market trend was volatile, with the US dollar index plummeting sharply after the release of retail sales data, but then quickly bottoming out and rebounding; Gold, on the other hand, has experienced ups and downs due to the emergence of massive buying and selling orders, stimulating the bungee jumping market; The crude oil also surged and fell, leaving people amazed.
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
The spot gold daily line charges a bearish line with a long upward shadow, and it can be seen that there is no good support in the short term below. The author predicts that the market may weaken at the beginning of the week and will explore again1330Gateway. And the resistance range above is still1350-1360If you can successfully stand firm in this range in the following week, the bulls are expected to continue to attack the early high points! That means the market may need to break through1330-1360Range, based on the current market trend, it is expected to break through first1330But the space below will not be too large, in the early stage1310The probability of falling below nearby is also not high, so the lower part gives us a chance to go long at a low level, whether it is1330Supported, or at what point supported, it should not be a problem to go long in positions ranging from half to seven floors. At least you can see that1340Nearby!
　　
The strong counterattack of crude oil lies in yesterday's market rumorsOPECAlternatively, measures such as reducing inventory may be taken to stabilize oil prices, leading to a significant increase in oil prices. The weakness of the US dollar also provides a helping hand for the rebound in oil prices. Multiple oil producing countries are calling for a freeze on production, especially Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy, who has stated9monthOPECAnd nonOPECThe news that the country will discuss boosting oil prices has provided strong upward momentum for oil prices, although the monthly reports of the three major energy institutions all showOPECThe output has reached a new high, butIEAIt is expected that the supply-demand balance will tighten before the end of the year, and the global stock market will rebound, providing support for oil prices; However, the market still doubts whether oil producing countries can achieve a freeze on production, and the market is generally bearish on oil prices.
　　
Ninggui asphalt from low position3780Position rebound to4180After being under pressure, the market seems to have returned to a weak pattern with two consecutive negative lines. However, on Thursday, the daily bullish trend basically covered the previous decline, with an increase of nearly 200 points. On Friday, the market continued yesterday's upward trend once again, and is currently exploring4300Barrier resistance, basically facing heavy pressure from crude oil, falls below10After the weekly chart, a second bottoming trend is formed, and the probability of this trend is still high. It has been severely overbought, and the continuous rise has led to4There is no pause in the middle of the hourly bullish line, and the cycle will be corrected in the short term. After that, the high level will fluctuate. It is reasonable to close the bullish line this week, and it is not a big deal, starting from a decline30Looking at the weekly chart, if the price bottoms out and rebounds this week, it will be a bullish trend, and if it rises later and is hindered, the bullish trend will also hit a new low.
　　
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
　　
　　1、1327Long, stop loss1323, Objective1338frontline
　　
　　2Above1345Short selling, stop loss4Points, target1333
　　
Suggestions for asphalt operation:
　　
　　1Above4380-4400Short on the front line, stop loss4430Look at the target below4300-4280frontline
　　
　　2Below4200-4180Long on the front line, stop loss4150On the target4260-4280frontline
　　
　　3If it falls below4100Short nearby, stop loss4155Look at the target below4050-4030-4000frontline
　　
Today's Key Financial Data and Events2016year8month15Day Monday
　　
(Italy is closed for the Assumption Day and South Korea is closed for one day due to the Day of Liberation)
　　
　　①20:30U.S.A8New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month
　　
　　②22:00U.S.A8monthNAHBReal Estate Market Index