Li Wanxi:8month15Suggestions for next week's operation of spot natural gas and strategies for resolving the situation

Li Wanxi:8month15Suggestions for next week's operation of spot natural gas and strategies for resolving the situation

Fundamentals:

According to a report from the Russian Ministry of Economic Development,2016In the first half of this year, Russia exported natural gas to non CIS countries780Billion cubic meters, year-on-year growth14.2%The main reason is that natural gas has a competitive advantage and price factor in the European electricity production structure compared to other fuels. If you always earn less and lose more, or even suffer serious losses, being trapped, having no time to analyze the market, not being good at analyzing yourself, and getting tired of those nonsensical but irrelevant guidance and advice. So add Li Wanxi and Weixinjs6486I will be your best choice.

During the same period, exports to CIS countries176Billion cubic meters, year-on-year decrease15.8%The main reason is that no agreement has been reached with Ukraine on natural gas supply issues;Domestic natural gas consumption in Russia2245Billion cubic meters, year-on-year decrease2.3%Mainly related to the reduction in supply to Russian power plants. According to data from the Russian Federal Bureau of Statistics,2016year6In the month, the domestic natural gas producer price index in Russia is relatively low2015year12Monthly growth7.6%。

Technical aspect

After the natural gas drilling platform announced a bearish outlook in the early morning, the natural gas market quickly plummeted50A point, but the sudden rebound has left many short selling investors confused, and the market has reached its highest point4780The first line then began to decline.

From the four hour chart of natural gas, it can be seen that the Bollinger Belt continues to move downwards,KThe line runs between the lower and middle rails,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving averages are all moving downwards,MACDThe indicators are about to bond, and the green energy column is shortening,KDJIndicatorJThe value starts to turn around.

From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the Bollinger belt is closed,KThe line runs between the upper and middle rails,MACDThe indicators continue to run upwards,1Hours and4Hour chartKThe formation of a stepped structure along the lines, coupled with the support of bearish news, will continue the downward trend of natural gas next week. Overall, the market will continue to weaken in the future, with a bearish trend and a focus on rebounding and short selling.

Specific operation ideas:

　　1.Above natural gas3760Short on the front line, stop loss30Point, look at the target3670;

　　2.Below natural gas prices3670Long on the front line, stop loss30Point, look at the target3750。

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