Li Wanxi:8month12Night operation suggestions for spot natural gas(Real disk intensive reading)

Li Wanxi:8month12Night operation suggestions for spot natural gas(Real disk intensive reading)

Fundamental analysis

EveningEIAAn increase in natural gas inventories, predicted value250/Billion cubic feet, actual value290/Billion cubic feet, as soon as the data was released, natural gas prices plummeted, then skyrocketed and then fell. The roller coaster market of natural gas has left many analysts and investors confused. It is indeed difficult to do investment without foresight, but it cannot be achieved without some gains after hard work. Investing well requires not only preparing time and energy, but also preparing tools!Author Li Wanxijs6486Suggest that investors should not blindly engage in activities full of enthusiasm!

FirstlyEIAThe increase in natural gas inventories and bearish data caused a jump in prices, but was affected bycrude oilDriven by the skyrocketing market, natural gas experienced a surge followed by a subsequent decline. In the unusually hot weather of the United States, coupled with low natural gas prices, power plants in the country used record sized natural gas to generate electricity last month to meet the skyrocketing demand for air conditioning.

According toEIAThe data shows that the cabbage like trend in natural gas prices has also driven natural gas production to improve2014-2015After a significant annual growth, it stagnated, and the record breaking consumption helped to consume again2015The huge inventory formed from the year to the first few months of this year. As a result, although natural gas inventories remain at a high level during the same period, the pace of growth has slowed down.

From the above data, the author analyzed that due to the bearish data, it started to plummet, and then due to the influence of the above data, there was a surge. However, due to the bearish data, natural gas ultimately fell. Next, we will analyze the trend of major varieties from a technical perspective today.

Technical analysis

Low opening of natural gas today19From a daily perspective,KAfter breaking through the Bollinger medium track, the line runs downwards all the way,5The daily moving average has a downward crossing10Daily moving average,MACDThe dead cross has formed, and the green bar energy is starting to increase,KDJThe indicator's dead cross diverges downwards.

From the four hour chart, it can be seen that the Bollinger Belt continues to move downwards,KThe line runs between the lower and middle rails,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving averages are all moving downwards,MACDThe indicators are about to bond, and the green energy column is shortening,KDJIndicatorJStarting from the hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing,KThe line runs between the upper and middle rails,MACDThe indicator continues to move upwards, with the red energy column increasing in volume. In the evening, the author suggests short selling during high periods.

Specific operational strategies

　　1.Above natural gas prices3720Short on the front line, stop loss30Point, look at the target3660;

　　2.Below natural gas3600Long on the front line, stop loss30Point, look at the target3700。

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