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Li Wanxi:8month12天然气供应充足,空头成为本周主力(Real disk intensive reading)

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Li Wanxi:8month12天然气供应充足,空头成为本周主力(Real disk intensive reading)

  从全球天然气供应市场来看,由于近年来需求低迷,LNG也出现供应相对过剩的局面,而此时美国成为新的LNG出口来源,无疑加剧了LNG供应过剩的局面,市场竞争更加激烈。同时,美国气价一直处于较低水平使得LNG在全球市场上更具成本优势,对其他LNG出口国造成巨大威胁。当然在供应过剩时期,需求则成为市场的主导,更加激烈的竞争将会拉低全球LNG价格,受国际油价下滑和国际天然气供应宽松影响,2016年我国上半年进口天然气价格同步下跌,其中,LNG和管道气进口到岸均价分别折合1.6element/立方米和1.4element/立方米,同比跌幅达到31%and33%,低气价刺激了我国天然气进口的活跃度,从而促使今年以来我国天然气进口保持旺盛增长态势,进口天然气大量增加而且价低不断冲击国内燃气市场,国产气承受压力。如果你有过多的欲望,欲望将蒙蔽你的双眼。如果你过度想象盘势顺着你的单子的方向走,这种妄想迟早会把你带向灭亡。添加笔者薇芯js6486To guide you in the path of desire.

  技术面:回顾本周天然气的行情,自从上周四EIA天然气先涨后跌,日线收线反转十字星,标准的黄昏之星信号以后,价格已经连续跌幅一个星期,创6month20以来,价格没有下破的新低了,跌幅500多个点,日线来看,KAfter breaking through the Bollinger medium track, the line runs downwards all the way,5The daily moving average has a downward crossing10Daily moving average, attached imageMACDThe dead cross has formed, and the green bar energy is starting to increase,KDJIndex dead cross divergence downwards

  4小时来看,布林带下轨支撑已经破位,5Daily moving average underpass10Day20日均线,均线指标整体向下运行,附图MACD绿柱能量二次放量,KDJ指标三线形成死叉向下运行;空头趋势还是比较强的。

  综合各指标来看:天然气价格再次有望再次下探,操作上反弹做空为主。

  具体操作策略:天然气3700Short on the front line, stop loss35Point, look at the target3600。

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