Li Wanxi:8month9Night operation strategy for spot natural gas(Real disk intensive reading)

Li Wanxi:8month9Night operation strategy for spot natural gas(Real disk intensive reading)

Fundamental analysis

Recently, at a certain natural gas summit forum,Experts present generally believe that,internationalLNGThe situation of oversupply in the market will continue for a period of time in the future,At least in2020Years ago, globallyLNGSupply will maintain sufficient momentum,China needs to fully seize opportunities,openLNGImport channel. Are you still feeling confused and at a loss for just entering the market? Are you still unsure how to handle orders? Are you still troubled by constantly losing money? Are you still skeptical and skeptical about your mentor's abilities. My authorityjs6486. I, Li Wanxi, did it8As a guarantee of the honor of being an analyst for the year, I am the guiding analyst you have been looking for and in need of. Join our team quickly, and we will use our strength to earn your trust in us.

According toIEAforecast,next20year,Unconventional natural gas production will significantly increase,North America will become a globally important regionLNGExport Zone. With countries such as the United States, Canada, Australia, and RussiaLNGThe gradual production of the project,2016There will be2000The newly added export volume of 10000 tons has entered the international market. And to2018year,GlobalLNGThe trade volume will increase to3.94Billion tons,Increase from current level25%—30%。

Technical analysis

Natural gas charges two large negative lines, and from a weekly perspective,KLine receiving10The daily moving average supports an upward trend,5The daily moving average shows signs of turning downwards, but there is no correlation with10The daily moving average forms a dead cross, as shown in the attached imageMACDThe golden cross of the indicator speed line rises, and the red kinetic energy column begins to shrink,KDJThe indicator's dead cross diverges downwards. From the daily chart,5Daily moving average and10The moving average is about to form a dead cross, as shown in the attached imageMACDIndicator fast and slow line adhesive operation,KDJThe indicator has a dead cross downward.

Looking at the four hour chart,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average has a dead cross downward,MACDThe indicator's fast and slow lines have a dead cross downward, and the green measurement column is used for volume increase,KDJThe indicator has a dead cross downward.

Based on comprehensive analysis, the overall trend of natural gas shows strong bearish positions. In terms of natural gas operations, it is recommended to focus on high altitude in the evening, with many low positions as a supplement!

Specific operational strategies

　　1.Above natural gas4000Short on the front line, stop loss35Point, look at the target3900;

　　2.Below natural gas3880Long on the front line, stop loss35Point, look at the target3960。

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