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一菲寄语:相约七夕,一菲祝愿每位投资者爱情收益双丰收!
虽然上周美国7月份非农就业报告表现极为靓丽,令美联储年内加息预期有所升温,但仍有部分金融机构并不看好美联储年内加息的前景,这令美元上行受阻,而goldETF持仓的不断增加亦帮助金价守住了1330美元关口,短线金价或能反弹至1340美元上方;从中线来看,日线级别金价技术面有望形成双头顶,后市有较大可能会下探1300The integer level of the US dollar.
Although the United States7月就业数据强劲,使得今年晚些时候的加息成为可能,过去三个季度美国的GDP增速持续疲软,且和2014and2015年相比,今年非农的增长幅度相对较慢;此外英国脱欧的后果是否会蔓延至欧洲其他地区,并对美国产生连带影响,目前还有待观察。
周一国际油价小幅冲高,美原油9monthfutures一度涨逾2%,刷新一周高点至42.71dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil10Monthly futures hit their highest point45.15dollar/桶,部分OPEC产油国呼吁减产帮助油价继续反弹冲高,美油短线上方关注布林线中轨43.95美元附近的阻力,不过由于伊朗仍未恢复至制裁前水平、限产能否达成仍然存疑、美国钻井数据持续反弹,油价中线仍存下行风险。
Technical analysis:
现货黄金方面:日线图上金价压制严重,BOLLThe middle rail line is stuck1336Nearby, give the gold price a hard slap,MA30The moving average is1340Forming the next checkpoint nearby,MA5Dead cross of moving averageMA10stay1345-46Key pressure levels are formed nearby. cooperateSTOIt is indeed difficult to break through upwards with a dead cross downward. Looking again4Hour,MA10Dead cross of moving averageMA120Moving average downward pressure, same as first resistance1336Nearby, it's only possible to break through and stand firm before heading towards1345-46Advance on the front line, butSTOThe golden fork has been completely depleted and appears to be turning downwards. However, due to concerns about limited upward momentum, it is recommended to focus on high-altitude operations.
②13:45Switzerland7Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
③14:00Germany6月季调后经常帐、德国6Monthly and quarterly trade accounts adjustment
④16:30britain6Monthly industrial output rate, UK6月制造业产出月率、英国6Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment
⑤18:00U.S.A7monthNFIBSmall Business Confidence Index
⑥22:00U.S.A6月批发销售月率、美国8monthIBDConsumer confidence index
⑦ The next day04:30From the United States to8month5Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory
Disclaimer: The above article was written by analyst Fei Yifei. Some news and information content is excerpted from online resources. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. For more details, please consult Fei Yifeiq:2930550190Spot gold and silver ordering experience group:166,029,930Group entry verification code:FYF(Required). Investment carries risks, and investors operate accordingly at their own risk. If reprinted, please indicate the source