费一菲：相聚EIA之夜，你准备进场了吗？

　　
　　机会永远是在留给有准备的人，经常听人说，人一辈子，不能错过两样东西，最后一班回家的车和一个深爱的人。而对于投资者来说多一样东西，那便是怕错过这末端震荡即将破位的行情，行情不大，可操碎了心，波动虽小，可期待依旧。看着窗外车水马龙，看着屏幕继续等待，没有不起风的城市，没有不破位的行情。时间是最好的裁判，让我们一起迎接今晚的·EIA吧！
　　
Message face:
　　
　　伴随着美国经济逐步改善以及goldETF持仓的下降，近期金价自1375美元的逾2年高位逐步向下回落，且一度下探1320USD.ETFSecurities商品研究负责人NiteshShah称，“我们看见美国经济数据转好，给了美联储更多升息的理据，这可能近期内打击金价。”
　　
　　法国巴黎银行(BNPParibas)美股及衍生品策略团队周二(7month19day)在报告中称，近期美联储加息的预期正在悄然升温，而这样的转变似乎还未体现在黄金价格中。一旦美联储潜在的鹰派预期开始发酵，金价可能面临波动下行的风险，因此建议做空黄金。不过，尽管部分机构出现了一些看空的声音，但也有不少机构依然坚持看涨金价，并认为避险情绪将继续对其构成支撑。
　　
　　在今年的大部分时间里投资者广泛追捧黄金，而现在情况出现逆转，负面情绪开始占据主导地位。CFTC数据显示，自1月黄金首次出现净多头持仓以来，基金一直押注黄金价格上涨，在截至7month5日的连续5周里，净多头持仓暴涨84%。COMEX8Monthly goldfutures今年仍上涨25%。白银通常是贵金属中波动最剧烈的品种，今年涨幅达46%，是彭博大宗商品指数追踪的22个品种中涨幅最大的。与对冲基金不同，美国散户投资者依然认为，地缘政治风险影响下，黄金光辉依旧。截至上周，美国造币局(U.S.Mint)2016年总共销售了超过50万盎司的金币，较去年同期翻了一倍。
　　
　　美国石油学会（API）According to the published data, as of7month15Day of the Week, USAAPIcrude oilInventory reduction228Ten thousand barrels, previously expected to decrease223.3万桶。当周APIIncrease in gasoline inventory80.50Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value151万桶，当周APIReduced inventory of refined oil48.4万桶，前值大增256.6万桶。针对该数据，知名博客ZeroHedge评论称，继上周公布的API原油库存降幅不及预期且汽油库存意外录得大增后，本周公布的API原油库存数据基本符合预期；不过由于汽油库存继上周的大增后继续上涨，进而带动油价小幅震荡后略微走低。美国能源信息署(EIA)将于北京时间周三20Hour30分公布上周官方库存数据。如果EIA的数据证实原油库存下降，这将是连续第九周库存减少。
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
Gold:
　　
Quick exploration of spot gold sub market morning market1338First line resistance level, then gradually falling back, currently at1325Nearby oscillation,1320The checkpoint is once again facing challenges. If it breaks, it will continue to explore. If it does not break, the gold price will still be organized within a relatively small triangular area, as shown in the main picturebollDuring necking operation,MA5，10Dead cross downward, gold prices have been running through recentlybollTrack up and down amplitude, looking for opportunities to explore new directions, with a focus on the following1320,1315Support position, with key pressure located above1333,1338On the attached diagramSTOThe Golden Fork is still in its early stages of development, and the operation remains focused on the interval. However, it has not been broken1320-1338Before the fluctuation range, do not blindly pursue orders. Wishing everyone a pleasant trading experience!
　　
Ninggui Asphalt:
　　
After Ninggui Asphalt jumped into the sky overnight, the highest test4464High position, then gradually falling back, and finally recording a long up lead and a small negative line, on the main imagebollThe opening diverges downwards,MA5，10The interweaving is leveling out, and the current price is atMA5，10Adhesive4380Nearby,MACDThe dead fork green energy has weakened slightly, and on the daily line, the asphalt tends to fluctuate and be bearish. In terms of operation, it is important to maintain high altitude and pay attention4440-4460Resistance level, lower support4300frontline.
　　
Spot gold trading at single point:
　　
　　1, step back1320/1322Long, stop loss4Points, target1333
　　
　　2, rebound1335/1336Short selling, stop loss1340, Objective1328
　　
Single point positioning for Ninggui asphalt section:
　　
　　1, rebound4420-4440Short selling, stop loss40Point, target4360-4340
　　
　　2, step back4320-4340Long, stop loss40Point, target4400
　　
Today's follow:
　　
　　19：00U.S.A7month15Day and WeekMBAMortgage Application Activity Index
　　
　　19：00U.S.A7month15Day and WeekMBA抵押贷款购买指数
　　
　　19：00U.S.A7month15Day and WeekMBA30年期固定抵押贷款利率(%)
　　
　　19：00U.S.A7month15Day and WeekMBA抵押贷款再融资活动指数
　　
　　22:00eurozone7Initial value of monthly consumer confidence index
　　
　　22:30From the United States to7month15Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
　　
　　免责声明：上述内容由湖北乾贯丰商贸有限公司特邀分析师费一菲q2930550190compose,The content of the article is for reference only. Investment carries risks,Investors operate with caution,Take the risk at your own risk.