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费一菲:为何一直被套?听我说
资本市场明星很多,但寿星很少。不求一天翻仓、不求一夜暴富,只求稳定盈利、理性投资!专业的人做专业的事我是一菲老师。
Deconstructing means using various methods to turn losses into profits or minimize losses after being trapped. The essence of unraveling can be attributed to amortized costs. Once the cost is below zero, it is considered a successful unraveling.
下面一菲就当下常见的套单提出几种解套方式,仅供投资者做参考,需要提醒大家注意的是,解套是在投资已经遭到损失的情况下的一种被动补救措施,而且存在继续亏损的风险,因此运用这些方法时应根据自身情况而定,不能盲目乱用,否则,搞不好会落得个“杀敌一百,自损三千”的结局。
Method 1:Underlying Replenishment
This is the most widely used and simplest way to solve the problem. When investors are trapped at a high level, they choose to hold their positions and then cover their positions at a low level, that is, to buy the currency again at a lower price and unwind through a rebound or reversal in the market. When the market rebounds, the losses of buying multiple orders from high positions gradually decrease, while the profits of buying multiple orders from low positions gradually increase. This way, even if the market does not return to its original height, investors are more likely to unwind. If the market develops well, there will still be opportunities for profitability.
Risk: Low position covering relies on judgment of the market. If the trend has already reversed or the position is covered prematurely before the rebound, there is a greater risk of losses as the position is covered. This method is extremely risky for margin trading.
Note: If an investor holds a position that exceeds all positions50%Instead, alternative methods should be sought. At this point, using a low margin to cover positions will increase the exposure risk faced by investors.
Method 2:Inverse price difference[High throw and low suction]
The reverse spread, commonly known as "selling high and buying low", is also a very easy way to unwind, that is, when the market is in a range oscillation, it is often tied to a relatively high level to close the position, and when the market drops to a relatively low level, it is bought again, waiting for the high level to sell again, in order to earn the middle price difference and achieve the purpose of cost sharing.
Risk: The risk of reverse price difference is relatively small. As long as the upper and lower tracks of the oscillation range are relied on, operations can be carried out smoothly. However, if the oscillation range turns to the bottom, there is a risk of going short when selling on the upper track. If the oscillation range turns into a downward relay, there is a risk of being trapped again when buying on the lower track.
Note: When performing the reverse price difference operation, it is important to avoid paying too much attention to the hourly chart. Due to frequent fluctuations in the hourly chart, it may lead to errors in determining the entry and exit points and missing the best point. Multiple references can be made4Operate on hourly charts.
Method 3: Reduce positions during high periods
Reducing positions at high points, as the name suggests, is to advise trapped investors to cut positions early, but only if the investors have confirmed that the market judgment is incorrect, and the way is to decisively close positions at the high points of the rebound market, or to close a portion of positions. This is the bottom line in the strategy of solving the trap, a "escape" tactic adopted when there is no hope of solving the trap.
Cutting down warehouses is not without strategy. Reducing positions during high periods can be basically divided into two stages of implementation. The first stage is the "high period", which means that even if the main trend has contradicted one's original judgment, one must wait for a rebound market that is in line with one's own interests before starting to cut positions;第二阶段是“减仓”,这里之所以说是“减仓”,而非“砍仓”,是因为减仓切不可“一刀两断”,把所有被套空单一次抛空,而应该有步骤、有计划的逐步减压。一菲纬信fyfai8Firstly, investors should analyze the stage at which they are being held short, that is, confirm the development trend of holding onto the currency.
If investors believe that the currency being held in a tight position is currently at a high trend and is likely to reverse, they should make a quick decision and close their positions when there is a slight improvement in the market. For short positions held, they should follow the "heavy to light" closing philosophy.
If the empty sheet is divided into10Equal parts, with3Taking the second opportunity short selling as an example, the proportion of short selling at this time is roughly7:2:1. In short, the greater the risk, the faster you run.
If the market range oscillates, investors should "sell every high" and follow the principle of "tight before loose" for each sold short order. Because since it is a trap, there is a risk, of course it is better to leave early, and the short selling ratio at this time is roughly5:3:2一菲叩2930-550190。
If the market is at a low trend, that is to say, although the current market does not match the original judgment, there is a possibility of turning to the original judgment in the short term. Investors do not need to leave the market in a hurry. When the market partially rebounds, follow the "light to heavy" closing principle, and the short selling ratio is roughly3:3:4And the time interval for short selling can be appropriately extended, and even a small amount of covered positions can be left, in order to make a small profit after the market reverses.
Risk: The difficulty of reducing positions during high periods lies in how to confirm incorrect market judgments and the timing of decision-making. If the main trend of the market is consistent with one's original judgment, but the current trend is contrary to the original judgment, investors are likely to lose their profit opportunities in vain. However, if investors discover that the market judgment is incorrect, they may wake up later and often have caused certain losses.
一菲提醒:投资者套牢仓位越重,越宜早早逢高减仓,越拖损失越大。此时充分体现了“时间就是金钱”的道理。
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