罗寒烟：近期黄金“风光无限”，沥青操作主要以低多为主

罗寒烟：近期gold“风光无限”，沥青操作主要以低多为主

Market Review:
　　
The recent increase in gold prices is mainly due to the increasing demand for safe haven in the market. Investors bought gold before the unexpected decision to leave the EU in the UK referendum in order to seek safety and cope with uncertainty. And as concerns about a slowdown in global growth intensify, coupled with the Federal Reserve（FED）Chairman Yellen's dovish remarks, as well as retail demand, support the rise in gold prices. In the coming months after the UK's decision to withdraw from the EU, safe haven sentiment is expected to continue, and gold will receive support as a result. If the Federal Reserve chooses to maintain interest rates unchanged, gold prices may rise1400dollar/ounce.
　　
Message face:
　　
The central bank is concerned that the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision, while the United States will announce6Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting, the European Central Bank will hold its 8th Statistical Conference and Management Committee meeting, and the Bank of England will release its semi annual financial stability report. In addition, many officials from European and American central banks will make intensive appearances. Officials such as ECB President Draghi, ECB Vice President Konstancio, ECB Executive Board members Pratt, Lautenschleig and Merch, New York Fed Chairman Dudley, Federal Reserve Director Tarullo, and Bank of Japan President Toshiko Kuroda will deliver speeches.
　　
Friday, USA10The yield of the one-year treasury bond bond fell to a four-year low and was close to a record low. United States30The yield of the one-year treasury bond bond fell to a record low. The prospect that global central banks may further cut interest rates and purchase bonds to support the global economy has pushed the yields of US and European treasury bond bonds to their lowest level in years. The bond trend indicates that economic growth will slow down, and global central banks will become more dovish.
　　
On the European side, France and the Netherlands10The yield of the one-year treasury bond hit a record low. The prices of the 10-year and two-year treasury bond of Spain rose, and the yields both hit a record low, falling to1.047%、-0.232%. Among them, the yield of 10-year treasury bond recorded the largest weekly decline in recent four years. This means that debt issuing countries such as Italy, which have a large amount of outstanding debt, will benefit.
　　
Technical analysis of spot gold:
　　
From the monthly chart of spot gold, it can be seen that the gold market performed well in the first half of the year6Within months4The month closed higher with a longer bullish candlestick.6Accumulated increase in monthly gold prices8.8%, for2The largest monthly increase since the beginning of the month. At the same time, according to the weekly chart, the recent performance of the gold market has been particularly promising, with continuous gold prices5Weekly rise, refresh30The best performance in the past six months. Looking at the daily chart, this week5Within trading days, the price of gold has4The trading day closed with a positive candlestick and overall performance improved, mainly due to the weakening of the US dollar and expectations of further easing of monetary policy by central banks during the UK referendum on Brexit.
　　
Suggestions for spot gold trading in Asia and Europe:
　　
　　1Above1345dollar/Ounce empty, stop loss4Points, target1335Below
　　
　　2Below1331-34Multiple, stop loss4Points, target1340upper
　　
Technical analysis of spot asphalt (Ninggui):
　　
　　crude oilFrom the daily chart, it can be seen that the Bollinger Belt's three tracks are running slowly,KThe line continues to oscillate at48—50The US dollar range is supported by both upper and lower track pressures,MACDThe convergence or crossing of fast and slow lines forms a golden cross trend upwards, and the green kinetic energy decreases;RSICross up running;KDJCross up divergent operation. from4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the three track turning head of the Bollinger Belt shows a clear upward trend,KThe line fell through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and rebounded strongly, but was suppressed by the high point above and closed at49Above USD;CCIThe indicator turns upwards,RSI指标交叉向上运行。综合而言，原油价格上行趋势明显，预计油价下周将震荡上行。操作上建议低多为主。罗寒烟Q.Q2557019786
　　
Suggestions for operating spot asphalt (Ninggui) in Asia and Europe:
　　
　　1Above4850Empty, stop loss40Point, target4700-4750
　　
　　2Below4600-4650Multiple, stop loss40Points, target4800
　　
　　
　　
　　重点关注的消息面：
　　
United States 纽约证券交易所 独立日 休市一日
　　16:30eurozone7monthSentixInvestor confidence index
　　17:00eurozone5monthPPIMonthly rate

撰稿人：罗寒烟
authority:luohanyan06