Fei Yifei:6month28Suggestions for daily and evening operations, with a focus on high altitude in gold and a much lower asphalt content following the trend

　
With the significant cooling of market risk willingness, risky assets have been sold off miserably, while the US dollar index has surged, reaching its highest level within the day96.70, approaching the three and a half month high hit last Friday96.71, putting pressure on oil prices and causing significant setbacks. Analysis suggests that Brexit may lead to a decline in commodity prices5%-10%. Monday(6month27day)The impact of last week's unexpected Brexit referendum on the market continues to ferment, and market sentiment remains very pessimistic. Rating agencies have successively downgraded the UK's rating, and the market generally expects global central banks to take more easing measures. In the context of hedging, investors are flocking to hedginggoldAnd USD assets.crude oilOn the one hand, concerns about Brexit have weighed on the market demand outlook, while also putting pressure on oil prices. As a result, oil prices ultimately closed close to a decline on Monday3%。
　　
Although the shock and panic this week seem to have eased somewhat, considering that the candidate to lead the UK government is still uncertain, Scottish separatism may launch a new movement, the EU's response is yet to be confirmed, and whether the EU has the ability to respond to the offensive launched by anti EU groups on the European continent, the market trend in this situation is expected to continue to fluctuate dramatically.
　　
The UK market is further volatile, with rating agencies lowering their UK ratings one after another. S&P downgrades the UK's sovereign credit rating fromAAADown toAA. S&P has a negative outlook for the UK's sovereign credit rating. It is also stated that the downgrade of the UK rating reflects the outcome of the Brexit referendum, which will weaken the predictability, stability, and effectiveness of UK policy making. In addition, rating agency Fitch has downgraded the UK rating toAA, originallyAA+。
　　
Investors are betting that the UK's departure from the EU will prompt the Bank of England to cut interest rates. Billions of pounds have evaporated from the market value of British banking stocks, as Thursday's referendum results have created a political vacuum and economic uncertainty in the UK, leading to economic growth and a widespread reduction in the outlook for pounds and interest rates.
　　
Technical analysis:
　　
In terms of spot gold, the daily chart appeared last Friday due to the Brexit market in the UK108A point surge, but ultimately recouped40The longer upper shadow line of a single point, although showing a slight increase in opening on Monday this week, directly filled the gap within the same day. After opening today, it still presents a considerable negative line, which is consistent with the analysis of the morning market. There is still room below so far, support is neededMA5At the intersection of the moving average and the central track1295Near.4On the hourly chart, it has been continuously charged4Root pubic column,BOLLThe support of the middle rail line will be available today18Point collection line to1305Support is formed nearby, whileMA5Moving average resistance is expected to move downwards1316-17Nearby, it is recommended to take advantage of the high altitude for evening operations.
　　
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
　　
　　1Above1316-17Short nearby, stop loss1321Nearby, look back at the target1308-06frontline;
　　
　　2First touch1305Buy long, break1302Stop loss, target view1310-12frontline;
　　
　　3Hang it up1295Multiple orders nearby, stop loss1290Next, target1305-08frontline;
　　
In terms of Ninggui asphalt, the daily chart shows continuous2The hidden line has pulled back the price of asphalt440Surplus points, asphalt prices touch again4410Nearby, this one is highly likely to be different from last time4410Forming double bottom support, coupled with this2The second negative line ultimately ends below the shadow line, and the market may experience a significant rebound at any time. Follow TodayBOLLLower track support4460-80First line, follow from aboveMA5andMA10Resistance pressure4630-50Nearby, operation suggestions are mainly low!
　　
Suggestions for the operation of Ninggui asphalt:
　　
　　1Below4460-80Long, stop loss4400Next, look at the target4580-4600；
　　
　　2Above4630-50Short selling, stop loss4690Up, look back once4550That's enough;
　　
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
　　
　　①16:00European Central Bank President Draghi delivers a speech on "The Future of the International Monetary and Financial System"
　　
　　②18:00britain6monthCBIRetail sales difference
　　
　　③20:30US Q1 ActualGDPYearly quarterly rate final value, corePCEThe final value of the annualized quarterly rate of the price index
　　
　　④21:00U.S.A4monthS&amp/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
　　
　　⑤22:00U.S.A6Monthly Consultation Chamber of Commerce Consumer Confidence Index, United States6Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
　　
⑥ The next day04:30From the United States to6month24Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory
　　
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