Fei Yifei:6.28The early Brexit scandal has not yet subsided, and oil prices have weakened and fallen more than2%

　　
For the current commodity market, the key lies in how long the Brexit crisis in the UK will last. The most turbulent period in British history has arrived, and market uncertainty will continue for several months. In addition to political uncertainty, there are broader issues, such as how the UK can negotiate to exit the EU on mutually acceptable terms, how London's financial industry can adapt to Brexit, how much impact the UK's economic growth will bear, and what kind of impact it will have on the global economy. If these questions are not answered, the market may continue to be volatile for a long time.
　　
Monday(6month27day)goods in stockgoldIn the past two years, it has fluctuated at a high level and is currently trading at1328.87dollar/Near ounces, after the Brexit referendum in the UK, there was strong demand for safe haven in the market, and the prospect of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates deteriorated, leading to a high bullish sentiment towards gold prices in the market;crude oilThe market, as the aftermath of Brexit in the UK continues to suppress oil prices, has concerns about oversupply of refined oil, and international oil prices have weakened and fallen more than2%Set a new low for another week.
　　
After the Brexit referendum in the UK, investors have increased their concerns about a global economic recession, especially for the economies of the UK and Europe. The continued weakness of European stock markets on Monday also reflects this expectation. At the same time, the prospect of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates has further deteriorated, and gold has remained at a high level for several years, with analysts generally predicting that gold prices will rise to1400The US dollar is even higher.
　　
International oil prices fluctuated and weakened on Monday, while US crude oil8monthfuturesOnce fell more than2%, reaching a new low in over a week46.50dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil8Monthly futures hit their lowest point47.66dollar/Barrel, Brexit has caused market concerns about the impact on crude oil demand, and in addition, the market is more concerned about the increase in refined oil supply; Technically speaking, there is also further downward pressure on oil prices. However, there are still voices in the market that are bullish on oil prices.
　　
Technical analysis:
　　
In terms of spot gold, the daily chart showed a significant increase in gold prices last Friday due to the successful Brexit from the UK referendum108Around the US dollar, but the final form presents40The long upward shadow around the US dollar, although opened high yesterday, has already completed the gap filling on the same day, ending with a small bearish line. It opened flat today, and there is still a lot of room for decline,MA5andMA10Intersection support of moving averages1300Nearby, the resistance above refers to yesterday's high point1335Near.4On the hour line, the current gold price is atMA5Mean Square andMA10Between the moving averages, we are in a state of bullish and bearish anxiety. Whoever is strong or weak still depends on the attached imageSTOIndicators,STODisplay on50Above the horizontal level, a golden cross will form, which will significantly shorten the lifespan of the golden cross2-3After one cycle, it will continue to be suppressed in a dead cross shape, therefore4The trend supported by the hourly chart is to rise first and then fall, so it is recommended to short during high periods.
　　
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
　　
　　1Above1330-32Short selling, stop loss1336Up, look at the targets one by one1320、1310、1305；
　　
　　2Hang the daily line properly1300Multiple orders nearby, with3-4Stop loss in US dollars, look10-15Individual profit points;
　　
　　3For specific instructions, please consult me personally; Fei YifeiV:fyfai8
　　
In terms of Ninggui asphalt, the daily chart shows continuous2The hidden line has pulled back the price of asphalt440Surplus points, asphalt prices touch again4410Nearby, this one is highly likely to be different from last time4410Forming double bottom support, coupled with this2The second negative line ultimately ends below the shadow line, and the market may experience a significant rebound at any time. Follow TodayBOLLLower track support4460-70First line, follow from aboveMA5andMA10Resistance pressure4630Nearby, operation suggestions are mainly low!
　　
Suggestions for the operation of Ninggui asphalt:
　　
　　1Below4460-70Long, stop loss4400Next, look at the target4580-4600；
　　
　　2Above4620-30Short selling, stop loss4680Up, look back once4550That's enough;
　　
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
　　
　　①01:30European Central Bank President Draghi delivers a speech at the Central Bank Forum of the European Central Bank
　　
　　②16:00European Central Bank President Draghi delivers a speech on "The Future of the International Monetary and Financial System"
　　
　　③18:00britain6monthCBIRetail sales difference
　　
　　④20:30US Q1 ActualGDPYearly quarterly rate final value, corePCEThe final value of the annualized quarterly rate of the price index
　　
　　⑤21:00U.S.A4monthS&amp/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
　　
　　⑥22:00U.S.A6Monthly Consultation Chamber of Commerce Consumer Confidence Index, United States6Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
　　
⑦ The next day04:30From the United States to6month24Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory