Li Wanxi:6month28 Analysis of crude oil asphalt market and operational strategies(Early evaluation and intensive reading)

Li Wanxi:6month28 crude oilAnalysis of Asphalt Market and Operational Strategies(Early evaluation and intensive reading)

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The crude oil price fell back from its intraday high on Monday in Europe and turned from rising to falling,NYMEXThe main crude oil contract hit a new low in six trading days46.35dollar/bucket;Although the number of active drilling wells in the United States decreased last week7Mouth, raising market concerns about the recovery of US shale oil;But market concerns about the subsequent impact of Brexit continue to ferment, completely overshadowing the impact of reduced drilling numbers, putting pressure on oil prices in the short term;However, if the implementation process of Brexit is smooth and orderly, and the global economy weakens as a whole, the possibility of significantly suppressing crude oil demand is actually very small, and the Federal Reserve is expected to postpone interest rate hikes;The price of crude oil is expected to rebound again in the medium to long term. If you always earn less and lose more, or even suffer serious losses, being trapped, having no time to analyze the market, not being good at analyzing yourself, and getting tired of those nonsensical but irrelevant guidance and advice. So add Li Wanxi and Weixinjs6486I will be your best choice.

Analysis of asphalt technical aspects:

On the daily chart, yesterday we collected a shadow column with an equal length of the upper and lower shadows,5Day10、20The daily moving average forms a dead cross and runs in a sticky manner, with the opening of the Bollinger Bands slightly downward, and the market moving below the Bollinger Bands. Attached diagramMACDThe fast and slow lines diverge downward, and the green column has an increasing trend in volume,KDJMarket indicators diverge downward with a three-line turn. The shadow lines above and below the Yin pillar are of equal length, and the power of the bulls is similar. In terms of four hours,60Daily moving average underpass5、10、20The daily moving average forms a dead cross, with the moving average system arranged in a bearish pattern, and the Bollinger band opening downwards,KThe line runs on the lower track of the Bollinger Belt, as shown in the attached figureMACDThe fast and slow lines diverge downward, and the green kinetic energy column releases energy,KDJThe three line turning head forms a golden cross upwards.

The foundation for the significant rebound of crude oil asphalt is not very solid, but there is no significant bullish factor of turning around and rising in the short term. Investors are advised to maintain a focus on rebounding and short selling.

Suggestions for early operation of US crude oil

　　1:upper46.9-47.1Short selling, stop loss0.3Point, look at the target45.7-45.9。

　　2: Below46.0-45.8Long, stop loss0.3Points. Target view46.7-46.9。

Suggestions for morning operation of spot asphalt

　　1:asphalt4470Long nearby, stop loss35Point, look at the target4560nearby;

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　　3.asphalt4550Long nearby, stop loss35Points, target4500-4480。