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The Brexit incident, one dramatic scene after another, has seen people petition for a second referendum since Saturday. This reminds me of a notice issued by the British government before the referendum. It is often said that people who are addicted to alcohol tend to act impulsively, while the British are also famous for their excessive drinking habits. It is during the voting process that they boldly throw a vote, perhaps not even seeing which one they are voting for. Well, when I woke up over the weekend, I regretted it all. As of yesterday, the signatures on the petition for the second referendum in the UK have been broken300Ten thousand. However, it is unclear whether the petition will receive the attention of the British government and further attention is needed.BBCPolitical affairs analyst Watson said that although the petitioners have some validity in their claims, the likelihood of their demands being immediately passed by parliament is zero.
Last Friday, the price of gold surged to1358USD, for2014year3The highest since the month, final report1315USD, for2014year7The highest closing price since the beginning of the month. Brexit exceeded market expectations,goldThe demand for hedging continues to rise. Due to the potential impact of Brexit on the growth prospects of the US economy, the market expects little hope of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year. The support for gold prices has further strengthened. News related to Brexit continues to emerge, and global financial markets are still deeply stirred, with volatility maintaining high levels. The demand for gold is difficult to cool down in the short term.
Monday6month27At the beginning of the Japanese Asian market, oil prices slightly stretched after a cliff like plunge, with both oil prices falling more than1%. Affected by the call for a second referendum by the British public, oil prices saw a slight rebound after the opening price plummeted. During the European period, there is less economic data and the market trend is more inclined towards the direction given by technology. International spot gold rose for the first time in the Asian market1.5%And touch1335The US dollar rose daily and then slightly declined to1330Around the US dollar. U.S.Acrude oilfutures(WTI)fall1%Reported per barrel47.16The US dollar, which touched earlier46.92The daily low of the US dollar; Brent crude oil futures also fell0.85%Reported per barrel48.01The US dollar, which touched earlier47.78The US dollar fell daily. Ninggui Asphalt Slightly Open4599Currently traded on4560frontline.
The current long positions in gold are still steadily increasing, and although the US dollar has also seen a safe haven rise, the US job market has not seen significant improvement, which will provide long-term upward support for the gold market. In addition, this referendum in the UK has put financial markets and the economy into a highly uncertain state, so the Federal Reserve will shift towards a more dovish state. In the uncertain and only postponable time of interest rate hikes in the United States, gold will receive good support and further rise. Once gold breaks through on the technical chart14Starting point pressure from the beginning of the year1350The position will further increase to1400The US dollar, investors can further monitor the dynamics of the US in the near future. If the Federal Reserve's comments turn bearish, the long opportunity for gold will come again!
Technical analysis of spot gold
Last week, gold closed with an extremely long bullish candlestick, marking the fourth consecutive week of bullish trading. This was due to the strong rebound in gold prices caused by the UK's successful exit from Europe on Friday. On a daily basis, the gold price continued to close negative from Monday to Thursday last week, but the Brexit trend of "Black Friday" reversed all the declines of the previous four days, and the gold price rose rapidly, reaching its highest point1358On the front line, although the sentiment in the future market has eased and gold prices have rebounded, friends who came out at the right time should still be making a lot of money, right?4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that spot gold has experienced a slight decline and fluctuated after experiencing a surge, with a large opening in the Bollinger Bands. The gold price has been suppressed by the upper track near the Bollinger Bands, as shown in the attached figureMACDDouble line indicator crossing operation, red kinetic energy column with large output,KDJThe third tier indicators are operating at a level. In terms of daily operations, the author suggests that low altitude should be the main focus, and high altitude should be secondary.
Suggestions for spot gold operation
1Gold price correction1308-1310Long on the front line, stop loss5Points, target1318-1320frontline
2Gold price1335Frontline empty orders entering, stop loss4Points, target1315-1310
3Hang it below1301Multiple positions, stop loss1298Below, target1310-1312frontline
Technical Analysis of Spot Asphalt (Ninggui)
Affected by the Brexit referendum on Friday, the Asian and European markets experienced significant fluctuations during the trading period. In terms of technical indicators, short-term indicators have all declined, with little reference significance. On the weekly basisKDJThree line bonding is developing downwards, and currently prices are supported byMA10One line, obstructed aboveMA5Overall, the price is5、10The daily moving average fluctuates weakly within the pod range. From the four hour trend chart, it can be seen that the Bollinger Band and moving average system are affected by the intraday referendum, and the technical aspects are relatively chaotic. CurrentlyKThe line price runs below the Bollinger Bands, subject to270The daily moving average support recorded a rebound. Attached diagramMACDIn terms of indicators, the green kinetic energy column continues to increase in volume;KDJThe indicators diverge downwards with a dead cross, and there are currently slight signs of turning heads. Overall, due to the impact of the Brexit referendum market, prices have significantly deviated from the technical track, and the market is following the development of fundamentals.
Suggestions for operating spot asphalt (Ninggui)
1Rebound4710Short nearby, stop loss40Points, target4670-4620
2、4550Long nearby, stop loss40Points, target4670, breaking the limit and holding
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
21:45U.S.A6monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value
22:30U.S.A6Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month
(Time to be determined) The European Central Bank holds a Central Bank Forum
The article is for reference only. Investment carries risks, so investors are advised to think twice before making a decision. Contact me for detailed consultation: Fei Yifeiw:fyfai8
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