Li Wanxi:6month27 (Monday)Spot asphalt is currently experiencing a trend of adjustment, with a continued increase in the mid track correction

Li Wanxi:6month27 (Monday)Spot asphalt is currently experiencing a trend of adjustment, with a continued increase in the mid track correction

　　全球金融市场近来数月一直担忧英国脱欧公投可能对国际金融环境带来的影响，但脱欧果真发生依然引起了不小的震惊和冲击。美元指数周五劲升逾2%, creating2008year10The largest daily increase since the beginning of the month, while the pound plummeted to31At a low point this year, British Prime Minister Cameron also announced his resignation, but will continue to serve as prime minister for the next three months, striving to10Select a new Prime Minister on a monthly basis. The rise of the US dollarcrude oilWaiting for pressure on commodity prices denominated in US dollars. If you always earn less and lose more, or even suffer serious losses, being trapped, not having time to analyze the market, not being good at analyzing yourself, and getting tired of those useless but irrelevant guidance suggestions. So add Li Wanxi and Wei Xinjs6486I will be your best choice.

　　不过市场仍需警惕英国脱欧可能会为欧盟带来的影响，毕竟欧盟日均原油消耗量达到1110Ten thousand barrels, only slightly less than China. However, it is worth noting that the EU's crude oil consumption is2005Since the beginning of the year, it has remained stable or declined, so the impact on global demand should not be too significant.

　　综上所述，英国脱欧对于油价最大的威胁在于市场风险意愿层面，如果该事件引发了全球金融环境不稳定性的大幅飙升，避险需求高涨将削弱投资者对风险资产的配置比例，从而影响到油价。

　　沥青技术分析

　　从日线图上看，周五沥青价格虽然一根大阴直接贯穿布林带中轨，但是价格并没有刺破下轨的位置。尤其是周一开盘之后沥青价格出现急跌的现象，这更让笔者觉得这是市场跟风者的入场导致。如果行情真的出现翻转，那么亚盘应该是以缓慢反弹为主，欧盘以震荡为基调，而美盘才是下跌的主旋律。

　　目前来看沥青价格在欧盘未开时段就突破了小时图布林中轨的位置，布林带开始缩口而且有明显微微抬头的趋势。这种走势不像是中继调整下跌，而是触底反弹休整之势。前文中笔者已经讲过沥青在4500-4510Now that we have emerged from a double bottom trend and are facing support from the central track, there may be profits from a rebound and short selling, but the process will be relatively complicated. It's better to callback the middle track position directly.

Specific operational strategies:

　　1Asphalt callback4590Long on the front line Stop loss35Points Target View4640

　　2For more real-time market analysis, please pay attention to the author Li Wanxi's reputationjs6486know