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At present, the momentum of the rise in oil prices has been exhausted, and the easing of concerns about Brexit only provides temporary support for oil prices. internationalcrude oilThe biggest fundamental news in the market recently is that Canadian crude oil producers have resumed production. Last month's forest fire in Canada eased the international crude oil supply surplus situation and ultimately boosted international crude oil prices6month9Rising sun and rising sun10Although Canada's interrupted crude oil supply has recovered, the interruption of crude oil supply in Nigeria and Libya is still ongoing.
On the other hand, the Iranian Ministry of Oil News AgencyShanaOn Monday, it was reported that Iran has raised its position on Halk Island(KhargIsland)The main oil terminal's crude oil export capacity enables eight oil tankers to load crude oil simultaneously. This may also further increase the supply of crude oil.
On Tuesday, in addition to continuing to focus on the UK Brexit referendum, financial markets will also focus on Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen's congressional speech. It is expected that Yellen's speech tonight will be restrained - without making too many promises, but with confidence in remaining silent. Perhaps it will be very boring? Yes. But boredom and consistency are the most effective ways for the Federal Reserve to reshape market confidence. A good strategy is to believe that although a referendum is currently the most important focus, Yellen's speech may still trigger a short-term market shock.
Based on comprehensive analysis, it is expected that as the market risk boost caused by the easing of the risk of Brexit in the UK subsides, international crude oil prices will resume a pullback mode and become bearish in the future, driven by the weakening of fundamentals and bullish momentum.
Technical analysis and operational suggestions for spot crude oil
From the daily crude oil chart, it can be seen that the Bollinger Bands are operating at a level,KThe line runs near the middle track of the Bollinger Belt, with a short period moving averageMA5UnderpassMA10Cross dead cross running flat, as shown in the attached diagramMACDThe fast and slow lines are running smoothly, with a decrease in the green kinetic energy column and a neutral and weak indicator. From crude oil4HAs shown in the figure, the Bollinger belt runs with an opening,KThe line runs near the Bollinger Bands and has a short period moving averageMA5Upper dressingMA10The golden fork runs upwards,KLine edgeMA5Run upwards, as shown in the attached imageMACDCrossing the slow line on the fast line is also a dead cross upward movement, with red kinetic energy columns increasing in volume. It is recommended to focus on high altitude operations and use low levels as a supplement, and strictly implement stop loss measures.
Ninggui Asphalt Operation Suggestions:
4870-4890Short selling, stop loss40Point, target4800-4820
4820-4840Long, stop loss40Point, target4880frontline
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