Li Wanxi:6month20原油沥青行情分析及下周一操作策略(Weekly review and intensive reading)

Li Wanxi:6month20crude oil沥青行情分析及下周一操作策略(Weekly review and intensive reading)

Friday(6month17day)有关英国脱欧公投的大戏继续上演，在支持留欧的议员被刺杀后，留欧阵营增加了不少同情分，这使得公投结果预期又再度偏向留欧，市场此前的紧张情绪有所缓解，加之联储票委再发鸽派言论，投资者回补美元多头。原油方面，虽然贝克休斯钻井平台数再度增加，但缓解的避险情绪和技术上的空头回补还是支撑油价跳升4%。

　　笔者仍旧预计，原油价格将会下跌至每桶40reach40美元区间的低端，下周，随着英国退欧结果所将带来之压力的上升，我们预计原油价格将再一次下跌。

　　沥青技术面从周线来看，本周收取了一根小阴柱，均线上行，MACD上行，KDJ指标超买区死叉发散，BOLL扩张，趋势多头稍占优。日线方面李宛晰威信建议：js6486On6连阴后周五收得一根实心大阳，回补了本周大部分的跌幅，5日均线开始走平，10Rihe20日均线粘合运行，布林带开口后走平，行情运行于布林中轨下方。附图MACD快慢线死叉下行，绿柱放量有所减弱，KDJ指标三线逐渐聚拢出现拐头现象。所以下周一开盘先关注5The stability of the daily chart, if it jumps short and opens low directly5Short chasing operation below the daily chart. If the opening is above it, it is expected to experience a rebound5The daily market trend will allow for more light positions to be placed.

　　沥青下周一操作策略：

　　第一种情况开盘价若在5日线下方：

　　1.upper4600Short nearby, stop loss35Point, look at the target4530nearby;

　　2.Below4500Long nearby, stop loss35Point, look at the target4600Near.

　　第二种情况开盘价在5Above the daily line:

　　1.upper4600Long nearby, stop loss35Point, look at the target4704nearby;

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　　3.upper4700Short nearby, stop loss35Point, look at the target4630Near.