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Li Wanxi:6month13黄金白银行情分析及下周操作建议(Weekly review and intensive reading)

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Li Wanxi:6month13gold白银行情分析及下周操作建议(Weekly review and intensive reading)

Friday(6month10day)随着英国退欧公投的逐渐临近,市场情绪变得焦虑起来,加之下周美联储决议被市场普遍认为不会加息,所以当最新民调显示支持退欧领先之时,市场的焦点就全都转向英国退欧忧虑,避险情绪促使投资者抛售欧元资产,购入美元,美元也升至一周高位。现货白银在周五稍早触及三周半高位17.37USD, up0.1%To per ounce17.30美元,本周录得4月来最大单周涨幅,上升5.5%. If you have any doubts, please add credibilityjs648

  笔者李宛晰认为,英国退欧本身并非什么大事,但对于经济影响蔓延至欧盟其他地区的担忧情绪扩大,意味着黄金白银等贵金属避险需求将会升温。若经济政治影响被很大程度上限制在英国,避险需求恐怕也会受到限制。

  市场关注焦点转向下周美联储会议。市场预计联储将会保持利率不变,投资者已经将美联储下次升息时间预期推迟至12月。此前,在令人失望的5月非农就业报告上周公布前,市场认为有可能在6Month or7月升息。美联储下周三公布最新决议。笔者李宛晰认为,如果美联储不在6Month and7月加息,不给出准确的指引,那么,这应该支撑黄金白银,因为美元也会下跌。

  白银价格在上周一路上涨,上涨幅达达到300余点,从走势图来看,白银价格在周线图上走出标准的触底反弹,并且是一个V型的反弹,就走势图而言,行情存在进一步走高的可能。但在周线级别上,白银价格的先前下跌使得指标陷入了走弱格局,当前在指标可以看到,快慢线在高位勾头,随时存在一次性的回落。从日线图来看,当前白银价格的支撑线上移至3520Nearby, while the pressure above is still3600关口。笔者李宛晰咨询薇信js6486预计在短线上行情便会走出一些回落,才能够重新走高,走出先跌再涨行情。

Suggestions for next Monday's operation of spot silver:

  1Lower fall3570-3580Long, stop loss30Point, look at the target3640nearby;

  2Touching from above3650-3660Short selling, stop loss30Point, look at the target3580nearby;
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