Li Wanxi:5month21供应不稳，原油沥青反弹后回调遇拐点（赚钱精读）

　Li Wanxi:5month21供应不稳，crude oil沥青反弹后回调遇拐点（赚钱精读）
Because of the endless guidance, I got stuck in an awkward situation where I had to solve one set after another, layer by layer. If I were to add WeChatjs6486周初的单边利润你没有把握住因为你没有找到我李宛晰这是你的责任，油价经历了一轮快速反弹，当前油价约等于1月低点时的两倍。油价的走势已经开始吸引市场的注意。
　　首先，油价当前的上涨趋势能否持续还有待观察。加拿大产油区的山火将会受到控制，委内瑞拉、尼日利亚、利比亚和其他产油国的生产问题最终将会得到解决，但这并不意味着油价将会重新下跌。事实是，有些分析师认为油价将会持续走高。
　　其次，我们要正确看待问题。油价自1月以来的涨幅非常强劲，但价格不太可能回到去年11月时的水平。此外，油价在达到65dollar/桶的水平之后仍可能下跌。因此原油不会突然变成非常昂贵的大宗商品。
　　第三个原因是，尽管最近油价上涨推动通胀率上升的消息占据媒体头条，但是全球原油需求依旧疲软，因此不太可能带来影响较大的第二轮效应。
　　换言之，李宛晰认为，核心通胀率仍然保持在低位。如果没有需求，油价上涨仅仅会暂时性推高通胀，直到基准效应消失。事实上，尽管油价因供应不稳出现上涨，但是原油进口国的经济增长实际是在放缓的，而核心通胀率则进一步走低。油价也可能将迎来反弹后回调的拐点，一波空头势力正慢慢袭来。
　　下周一沥青操作策略：
　　1.Asphalt rebound4720Short selling on the front line Stop loss45Look at the target points4600
　　2.沥青价格首次触及4600Long on the front line Stop loss40Look at the target points4700
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