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Li Wanxi:5month16Technical Analysis and Operation Strategy of Daily Morning Spot Asphalt Crude Oil

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Li Wanxi:5month16Daily morning spot asphaltcrude oilTechnical analysis and operational strategies
This post will be updated daily based on the market situation!Here is a solution for situations where friends may make operational errors in the daily market!Can add author skirt544-838-863verification29。
Message interpretation:
  原油价格周五下跌,单周涨幅缩窄,一方面加拿大产油商在山火过后恢复生产,另一方面从尼日利亚到美国全球供给呈现减少,投资者在综合权衡基本面前景。有任何疑惑可加威信js6486
United StatesWTIcrude oil6monthfuturesFriday closing down0.49USD, decline1.05%Report46.21dollar/Bucket, rising this week3.34%. Brent crude oil7Monthly futures closed down on Friday0.25USD, decline0.52%Report47.83dollar/Bucket, strong rise this week5.22%。
  虽然月报偏向利空,同时美元反弹也限制了油价的反弹空间,但由于全球中产油断事件集中爆发,产量下滑为油价带来了强劲支撑,油价在过去六周内实现五周上涨。
  产出下滑、特别是北美产出减少,料使得油价免于深度下跌。从空间与时间的维度看,油价还能上涨多久?This depends on whether there will be new factors leading to a significant expansion of supply, contraction of demand, or a strengthening of the US dollar. From the current perspective, two major factors are worth paying attention to: one is that the sustained rise in oil prices may bring shale oil companies back to the breakeven point, triggering a rebound in production;The second is that although the Fed's interest rate hike has been delayed, the risk has not dissipated. Once the expectation of interest rate hike significantly rebounds, the US dollar index will inevitably strengthen, thereby dragging down oil prices.
Analysis of spot asphalt technology:(The trend of crude oil and asphalt is consistent)
  沥青日线图来看,5Daily moving average10The daily moving average forms a golden cross,22、135The daily moving average continues to rise,KLine price from22After receiving support at the daily moving average, it has continued to rise and has been bullish for three consecutive days. The current price has shown a small bearish star after three consecutive bullish days, and it is expected that asphalt will slightly fall in the later period, but the overall upward momentum remains unchanged.
  沥青从四小时走势图来看,布林带三轨向上,呈现单边上涨的态势,KAfter being suppressed at the upper track of Bollinger Bands, the line oscillates downwards below the mountain track. The downward trend is supported by the previous low point and middle track, and rebounds upwards, with the low point continuously moving upwards;CCIAlso running upwards,KDJThe indicators are gathering upwards.
  综合来看,沥青存在继续走高的可能,预计在周初,沥青价格将有可能会震荡上行,建议日内交易维系逢低做多思路为主,当前操作上需要关注4400-4500The breaking situation of the interval. For more real-time operation strategies, please pay attention to my credibilityjs6486Latest analysis.
Suggestions for morning operation of spot asphalt:
  1Below the asphalt4400-4380Long on the front line Stop loss40Points Target View4500
  . 2.The first appearance of asphalt4500Short selling with light positions Stop loss4530 Target View4400
  3.Due to differences in platform locations. If you want to learn more about the operation details, you can find the author Li Wanxi Weixinjs6486。
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