Li Wanxi:5month9There is a short-term downside risk for Japanese asphalt,Medium term bullish trend

　　Li Wanxi:5month9There is a short-term downside risk for Japanese asphalt,Medium term bullish trend
Li Wanxi reminds us that "in the investment market, if you don't believe in tears, who laughs the best until the end." We learn from our lessons and gain from our professional team. High opening of early oil prices and asphalt2%For friends who left empty orders on non farm nights last Friday, please note whether this news will continue to affect the rise in oil prices?If you have a free order in your hand, dare to add the author Wei Xin nowjs6486It's not too late.
The recent trend of asphalt seems unreasonable, but it is also full of reason. From low position2510Climbing all the way up to4510Due to investors' expectation of continuous improvement in market fundamentals in the later stage, as well as the firm belief of oil producing countries, the expectation of a rapid recovery of supply and demand balance in the future market is gradually accelerating, and asphalt prices are currently stabilizing4200Nearby, it seems to be stabilizing, but there is a hint of fragility. Overall, there seems to be a bullish trend,But there is a downside risk.
Another adjustment after the formation of a continuous positive on the weekly chart. The last adjustment occurred in4At the beginning of the month, also when the non agricultural data was released, in the last trend, asphalt prices5After connecting with Yang, enter a callback, callback2After a week, it will rise again and be completed at its current position4After continuous yang, the current asphalt fluctuation rhythm is obviousEIAUnder the unfavorable data, the pressure on asphalt prices is significant, with the above4430The position pressure did not break through in multiple tests last week, but there is a high possibility of a new high in the future.
From a daily perspective, after the adjustment of asphalt prices, they closed with a long shadow tombstone on Thursday and a cross star line on Friday. The current trend of asphalt price consolidation is obvious, and it is expected to continue to maintain the consolidation range formed during the Friday period without going out of the market.
From4When viewed online, Bolin has a shrinking mouth, and the oil price is running above the Bolin mid rail,MACDThe indicator dead cross failed to form effectively and began to show a golden cross trend, with a red energy column appearing,KDJThe lower hooks are glued together, with a tendency to form golden forks in rows. Overall, Teacher Li Wanxi believes that asphalt is still bullish in the medium term, but there are still downside risks in the short term.
Asphalt high opening this morning,There is a potential to fill the gap,But it is still bullish in the long run, so it is recommended to pay attention to the operation4700Hold down position, support4120Nearby, adopt a strategy of emptiness before abundance.
It is recommended to focus on the middle line first and then adopt multiple strategies. There is currently no strategy to pursue long positions. It is recommended to follow the trend of the market and grasp the key operating basis, such as breaking and stabilizing support resistance.
　Today's operation suggestions
　　1Step back below4300Long on the front line, stop loss4260On the target4510frontline;
　　2 .If you have any doubts, please add credibilityjs6486
　　2First rebound above4470Short on the front line, stop loss4510Look at the target below4260-4240frontline;
　　3.Our analyst team conducted data analysis, combined with wave theory, andkConduct a comprehensive analysis of the line shape to place a single point, and add Li Wanxiwei for specific operation suggestions-letterjs6486.