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US Energy Information Administration(EIA)According to the released data, last week the United Statescrude oilInventory increase278.4万桶,增幅高于市场预估的169.5万桶。上周美国原油日均产量882.5万桶,比前周日均产量减少11.3Ten thousand barrels.
  
  IMF周三公布了对丹麦经济的评估,称“丹麦长期维持着良好的经济和社会政策,但出口增长疲弱。”IMF指出,丹麦的GDP增长已经长期低于瑞典和德国等小伙伴,这种状况在全球金融危机之后一直持续。
  
  据透露,上周丹麦财政部将今年的GDP增长预测从1.9%Down to1.1%,将明年的也从2.0%Down to1.7%. butIMF预测该国2016and2017OfGDP增长分别为1.3%and1.6%。
  
  丹麦在北海拥有大量油井和天然气井,是西欧最大的油气生产国之一,但2014年中开始的油价暴跌意味着这个国家不能像从前般依赖油气收入。这个发达国家拥有目前全球最大规模的主权财富基金,但在油价下跌令财政吃紧之际,政府不得不从这个巨大的“储蓄罐”里加速取钱。
  行情回顾因为加拿大森林大火导致石油重镇麦克默里堡几乎彻底被毁,当地原油生产商及相关企业纷纷暂时停产减产,使得从昨日晚间EIA后开始油价开始反弹至今日。而晚间美国初请失业金数据再度利好,导致行情再度冲高。但消息的提振只是暂时性的,市场消化完后,基本面的问题重新回归,油价今日的反弹也就到此结束了。自此,晚间后半段行情持续下跌,基本回吐了当日90%以上的涨幅。丹麦这个西欧最大产油国经济告急,原油减产又是必然.
Technical Analysis
  
  从日线上看,布林带拐头向下运行,KLocated below the Bollinger Belt track, currently obstructed by5Daily moving average suppression,MA5、MA10Turning head runs downwards, as shown in the attached figureMACDRed kinetic energy reduction, dual parallel running on0Above the axis, the indicator is strong and randomKDJ成死叉粘合状,指标中性偏强。从4小时线上看,布林带开口向下运行,KThe line is located near the lower track of the Bollinger Belt,MA5、MA10Underpass20日均线运行,附图MACD绿色动能缩量,双线平行向下运行于0Near the axis, the indicators are neutral and weak, with random indicatorsKDJ向上发散,指标弱势,笔者认为大趋势依旧是多头,但是短线仍可继续看空。
  
  {宁贵沥青建议}
  1.4420-4450Empty, target4370Nearby, stop loss40Points.
  
  2.4270-4240Multiple, target4310Nearby, stop loss40Points.
  
  3.若有效突破请联系鑫源获取实时分析
  
  
  温馨提示:投资有风险,操作需谨慎,以上建议仅供参考,重点关注今晚大非农。
  
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