Li Wanxi:5month5日非农初请同根同源，白银夜间如何布局?

　Li Wanxi:5month5日非农初请同根同源，白银夜间如何布局?
　　昨夜与白银价格波动相关度比较高的行情变量要算晚间20:15The United States of AmericaADP就业数据，前值20, expected19.6，实际数值15.6。从这个非官方的统计数据上看，与预期相比，美国实际就业状况显著降温，以现在的市场逻辑关系来看，就业数据如此不理想，那么美元加息概率理应大降，白银应该大涨。有任何疑惑可加威信js6486
　　但实际上，以现货白银为例，公布ADP之后反而震荡下行。笔者推断其主要原因是美国初请失业金系列数据以及非农系列数据均是由美国劳工部统计并发布，但ADP是私人咨询公司发布。即ADP在数据渠道以及统计方法上与初请以及非农存在着本质性的差别。如果投资者要想对本周的非农有一个科学的预期，那么交易上仅需重视ADP数据的公布时间，但是ADP数值相比初请系列数据更像是一段影片的旁白，可以做为剧情的参考，所以建议投资者更多关注与非农同根同源的初请系列数据，了解其变动趋势。
　　现货白银由于大结构未产生重大变化，白银小幅震荡，一度刷新两个交易日高点17.51dollar/盎司。仅以15分钟超短周期为例，3630And3665将成为短线重要的支撑与压力。
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　　重点关注晚间初请失业金数据，提前布局请关注薇信有任何疑惑可加威信js6486，盈利不争朝夕，翻仓你我共行!