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Ding Wanting:4month13Supported by Chinese factors, asphalt rebound may continue
Due to the United Statescrude oilThe continuous decline in production and the upcoming meeting of major oil producing countries in Doha to discuss the freezing of production have led to a significant increase in oil prices in the past two months.
weekthree(4month6day)Published data, crude oilfuturesThe price of has increased in New York6.6%. US crude oil production as of4month1A continuous occurrence occurred before the current week10Week's decline. Baker Hughes ()BakerHughesInc.Data shows that the number of active drilling platforms in the United States has decreased to2009The lowest level in years. Major oil producing countries such as Saudi Arabia and Russia are about to4month17The meeting held in Doha today to discuss a production freeze agreement has also helped stabilize oil prices to some extent.
The oil price is below2Monthly drop to13The annual low, but subsequent news of a freeze on production caused oil prices to rebound. This week, various news about the freeze production agreement has caused oil prices to fluctuate. Saudi Arabia stated that if Iran does not participate, it will also withdraw from frozen production, while Kuwait stated that an agreement can be reached to add Wei and Xin without Iranzyt433. Just yesterday, Russia and Saudi Arabia also reached an agreement on freezing production. The freezing production meeting has touched the nerves of the market, but its continuity needs further observation.
Market changes
Russia is seeking results at the Doha Conference and says major oil producing countries are discussing setting production targets2The level of the month. According to Goldman Sachs, even as Russia prepares for the Doha Conference, its crude oil and condensate production2017It will still rise before the new year.
Iran's recent actions demonstrate its intention to gain market share rather than reduce production. The prices of crude oil sold by Iranian National Oil Company to Asia are lower than those of Saudi National Oil Company.
In addition, according to data from the US Energy Intelligence Agency, daily crude oil production in the United States has decreased to90110000 barrels/Day. The number of active drilling platforms has steadily declined, compared to the number of platforms this week2014year10Of1609Decrease354No.
Chinese factors
Tonight is about to usher inEIAFrom the current market sentiment, crude oil inventory data, although there are still many views that insist on being bearish in the market, the statement that bears are not dead and bulls are not limited is very appropriate in the current market situation, and the data can only be used as a reference. In addition,IMFYesterday, while lowering the economic growth expectations for the United States and the eurozone this year, we also raised China's economic growth expectations by adding Wei, Xinzyt433, ChinaAThe stock has opened high for the past two days and gained strength, which has also provided some support for asphalt. The idea of pullback and long trading remains unchanged before the freeze production meeting.
Real time operation strategy:
1.4020Long, stop loss3980, Objective4070reach4080
2.If there is no obvious intention of a pullback, increase to4080Afterwards, callback4050Go long again, stop loss4010, Objective4090reach4100
3.rebound4120reach4130Short range, stop loss4160, Objective4070reach4080
4.In recent days, spot asphalt crude oil has skyrocketed and plummeted, and many investment friends have just been covered with empty orders, but have also been covered with multiple orders. So how can these orders be resolved?eveningEIAIs there a chance to unwind the situation?How to solve the problem? Please consult expert Ding Wanting online3254331091VIPProfit Strategy Skirt:339-369-738 verification789Refusal to add without verification!
(eveningEIAApplicable before inventory data) |