Chen Yinzhuohan:4month12Suggestions for operating Jiangsu Zhongsu alkanes, spot silver, and crude oil in the evening

　Chen Yinzhuohan:4month12In the evening, Jiangsu Zhongsu alkanes, spot silvercrude oilOperation suggestions


　　macro analysis


Tuesday（4month12International oil prices fluctuate and remain stable, with US crude oil5monthfuturesGuarding in a barrel40Above the US dollar, Brent crude oil6Monthly futures break three week high to43.09dollar/The continued weakness of the US dollar has provided support for oil prices, and later this week major oil producing countries will hold a meeting to discuss freezing output levels in order to control the continuously rising excess supply.


　　中东产油国和俄罗斯计划周日（4month17The meeting was held in Doha, the capital of Qatar, but did not include the United States. They will discuss how to control the increasingly expanding surplus supply. The current daily surplus supply has reached as high as200Ten thousand barrels. Most analysts predict that freezing production at current levels by oil producing countries will not help restore balance in the oil market; At present, production has exceeded consumption and is close to historical highs.


　　虽然冻结产量对解决供应过剩问题作用不大，但让中东和俄罗斯产量保持在当前水平，长期而言可能会有益于市场恢复平衡，尤其是在需求保持强劲的情况下。需求在增长，美国石油产量在下降，因此，如果在这一背景下达成冻产协议，市场可能会在某个阶段趋紧。




　　technical analysis


　　江苏中苏现货烷烃（走势与现货原油、沥青一致）昨日小幅跳空高开，回补缺口后再度上行，日线最终收阳。今日日内持续震荡，随后小幅走高，短线走势依然偏强。笔者此前曾提示过大家，本周必然还会有高点出现，而昨天和今天的走势也完全符合笔者此前预期，不过接下来价格是能否再创新高，笔者则保持谨慎态度。因为目前虽然大周期来看，多头形态保持良好，但是目前日线临近布林带上轨压力，或将面临一定的回调风险。另外，4Although the hour continues to fluctuate upwardsMACDThe indicators are clearly operating in the overbought area, and the bullish energy column is shrinking in volumeKDJas well asRSIThere have been signals of divergence from the top, indicating a relatively high demand for technical pullbacks. Therefore, analyst Chen Yinzhuohan suggests that everyone should be cautious in chasing the rise and try to sell at high levels in their operations.


　　江苏中苏铆钉电触头（走势与现货白银一致）昨日大幅上行，日线收取中阳线，走势明显偏多。不过需要注意的是，虽然当前走势偏多，但是日线布林带暂无明确开口信号，能否形成有效破位，打开上方空间暂时还不确定。而且我们从4On the hourly trend, it can also be seen that the attached chart indicators continue to operate at high levels, while the main chart indicators have short-term moving averagesMA5In the case of a significant upward trend, there seems to be a certain demand for a pullback, so based on the previous trend, we need to pay close attention to the Jiangsu Zhongsu Rivet Electrical Contact in the evening3400Without effectively breaking through the pressure nearby and standing firm, it is not advisable to excessively chase after the rise. At present, there is a small bearish adjustment after the continuous upward trend on the hourly chart, and a short-term adjustment signal has appeared. Therefore, analyst Chen Yinzhuohan suggested that in the evening, it is advisable to consider the strategy of selling short in batches before breaking the key pressure, and strictly control the risk of stop loss.


　　4month12Suggestions for operating spot alkanes (spot crude oil, asphalt) between Jiangsu and Jiangsu in the evening


　　1、2000-2020Short selling at the right time, stop loss30Point, target1950-1940；


　　2First contact1940Long, manual stop loss1920, Objective1980-1990；


　　3Falling below1920rebound1940Short selling above, stop loss1970, Objective1900-1880。


　　4month12Suggestions for operating Jiangsu Zhongsu, rivet electrical contacts, and spot silver in the evening


　　1、3360、3380Short in batches, stop loss3400Above, target3320；


　　2Falling below3320Short selling, stop loss3350, Objective3270-3260；


　　3Ambush3260Multiple orders, stop loss3220, Objective3300-3320, break through and continue to hold;


　　4Breakthrough3200-3400Please consult the author directly for the interval.